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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | <1% | −11 pts | −11 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $484 | in 8d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d |  Wan2342 fills | October 31 | SellNo86¢ → >99¢ | $3,219 | −$512 −16% | — |
ScottyNooo833 shares
Mantzuraj352 shares
StarMaster250 shares
0xdc3E831cad800 shares
bissy.220 shares
estoicc127 shares
crypto-basenji100 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if both James Talarico and Ken Paxton participate in a televised or live-streamed debate or candidate forum between market creation and October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, both listed individuals must be present, either on stage or in a virtual forum, and both must respond to at least one question while the other is present. Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify. A candidate forum in which both candidates participate at different times will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about <1%.