Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| February 20 | 100% | +94 pts | +75 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| January 14 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| February 25 | 100% | +73 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 245d | jconfusedpinetree | February 25 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,470 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 246d | Enormous-Phrasing | February 20 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,057 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 246d | ADancrypto | February 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,897 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 246d | February 25 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,472 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 246d | Yalokin | February 20 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,066 | −$90 −0.9% | — |
| 246d | rip | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 246d | ADancrypto | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,039 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 246d | rip | February 20 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 246d | February 25 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,450 | +$25 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 246d | SaylorMoon | February 25 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,632 | +$67 +1.0% | 20 |
| 246d | February 20 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,107 | +$31 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 246d | February 25 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,863 | +$545 +19% | 21 | |
| 246d | February 20 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $3,293 | +$931 +28% | 20 | |
| 249d | Yalokin | February 20 | BuyYes15¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$8,470 +565% | 25 |
| 252d | February 20 | SellNo70¢ → 0¢ | $1,051 | +$1,051 +100% | — | |
| 252d | Xaci | February 20 | SellNo71¢ → 0¢ | $1,008 | +$1,008 +100% | — |
| 252d | marketvet | February 20 | SellNo71¢ → 0¢ | $1,047 | +$1,047 +100% | — |
| 265d | January 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,311 | −$21 −0.3% | — | |
| 265d | January 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,983 | −$103 −0.6% | — | |
| 266d | QMG-CORE6 fills | January 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,367 | +$106 +0.5% | 20 |
| 266d | il1 | January 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,284 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 266d | alliswell | January 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,980 | +$20 +0.2% | 20 |
| 266d | Close-Trigonometry2 fills | January 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,608 | −$26 −1.0% | — |
| 268d | January 31 | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $4,338 | +$1,513 +35% | 20 | |
| 268d | DieselDiesel3 fills | January 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $12,411 | −$59 −0.5% | — |
| 270d | January 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $12,317 | +$329 +2.7% | 20 | |
| 270d | marketvet | February 20 | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $1,013 | −$1,013 −100% | 20 |
| 271d | tgglZ | January 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,336 | −$18 −1.3% | — |
| 272d | bearbees2 | January 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$23 +2.2% | 20 |
| 274d | January 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,469 | +$227 +5.1% | 20 | |
| 275d | January 31 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,792 | −$94 −5.2% | — | |
| 275d | January 31 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,256 | −$91 −4.0% | — | |
| 275d | January 31 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,281 | −$74 −3.2% | — | |
| 275d | 0x5813…b464 | January 31 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,090 | −$94 −4.5% | — |
| 276d | January 31 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $8,287 | +$528 +6.4% | 20 | |
| 276d | January 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$158 +5.3% | 20 | |
| 276d | Xaci | January 31 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | −$234 −8.2% | — |
| 276d | tgglZ | January 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$54 +4.2% | 20 |
| 276d | January 31 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | +$124 +11% | 20 | |
| 276d | FlyingPlaty | January 31 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $6,398 | +$791 +12% | 20 |
| 276d | January 31 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$132 +12% | 20 | |
| 276d | DieselDiesel | January 31 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $8,499 | +$1,501 +18% | 20 |
| 276d | 0x5813…b464 | January 31 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | +$203 +18% | 20 |
| 276d | wangbo | January 31 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$142 +12% | 20 |
| 276d | Hiworld. | January 31 | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,280 | +$720 +32% | 20 |
| 277d | January 31 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$246 +8.8% | 20 | |
| 277d | January 31 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,459 | +$263 +18% | 20 | |
| 277d | alliswell9 fills | January 31 | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $19,937 | −$19,937 −100% | 20 |
| 279d | January 31 | BuyNo35¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$2,421 +186% | 21 | |
| 281d | 854A7843 | January 31 | SellNo26¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | −$2,872 −286% | — |
| 283d | January 14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,855 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 286d | January 14 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,891 | +$699 +37% | 20 | |
| 286d | January 31 | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$1,054 +89% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court issues an official ruling in the case Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc. by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official ruling on the case is defined as any decision on the merits of the case issued by the Supreme Court, including but not limited to a written opinion, summary disposition, or per curiam opinion. If the case is dismissed as improvidently granted, dismissed for mootness, vacated and remanded without a decision on the merits, withdrawn or settled, otherwise concluded without a final merits judgment, or there has been no qualifying ruling for this case by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for January 31 means the market gives it about 0%.