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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 418d |  elmcap23 fills | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $48,534 | +$656 +1.4% | 20 |
| 418d | aviato2 fills | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,870 | +$130 +1.1% | 20 |
| 418d |  MettaWorldPeace00 | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,307 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 419d | Pavelevel | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,035 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 420d |  Debosnys2 fills | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,471 | +$28 +0.4% | 20 |
| 421d |  meowinglion2 fills | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $19,591 | −$247 −1.3% | — |
| 422d | ndasmdsam | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,800 | +$84 +0.9% | 20 |
| 424d |  0xdc3E831cad3 fills | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,142 | −$173 −2.8% | — |
| 424d |  ScarletRot | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $17,704 | −$409 −2.3% | — |
| 424d | tdk3695 fills | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,643 | −$236 −1.7% | — |
| 426d | CanadianGoose4 fills | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $8,788 | +$868 +9.9% | 20 |
| 428d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$25 +2.2% | 20 |
| 429d | k00pa | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$14 +1.3% | 20 |
| 429d | affs20791 | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,297 | −$142 −1.9% | — |
| 430d |  GoldmanSachs | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | −$18 −1.8% | — |
| 430d | Lisbon | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$15 +1.3% | 20 |
| 431d |  cy6erpunker | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,275 | −$63 −1.9% | — |
| 431d | Debosnys | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,625 | −$31 −1.9% | — |
| 435d |  Bertapotamous2 fills | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,426 | −$99 −2.2% | — |
| 436d | MichaelGuan | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,685 | −$41 −2.5% | — |
| 437d | nonkenny90 | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,326 | −$60 −2.6% | — |
| 438d | lissartter | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,736 | −$76 −2.0% | — |
| 438d | cy6erpunker | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,281 | +$48 +1.5% | 20 |
| 441d |  BuckMySalls | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,126 | −$243 −3.0% | — |
| 441d | QinQin | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,352 | +$35 +2.6% | 20 |
| 441d |  User175 | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | −$35 −3.0% | — |
| 442d | djboy | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | −$34 −3.0% | — |
| 443d | kekw | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | −$89 −3.6% | — |
| 444d | Folletin | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,859 | +$184 +3.1% | 20 |
| 444d | affs207912 fills | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,017 | +$110 +3.7% | 20 |
| 445d | Wads2S | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,894 | −$141 −4.9% | — |
| 446d |  Oompa-Loompa | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | −$55 −3.8% | — |
| 447d | yyyyyyy | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,208 | −$258 −4.2% | — |
| 447d | CanadianGoose3 fills | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $10,969 | −$1,030 −9.4% | — |
| 448d | gsakura | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | −$43 −3.6% | — |
| 448d |  Car6 fills | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $20,589 | +$3,303 +16% | 20 |
| 448d | ScarletRot | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,545 | +$239 +5.3% | 20 |
| 449d | coco040678 | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,949 | −$124 −6.4% | — |
| 449d | Skaliz | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,645 | −$105 −6.4% | — |
| 449d | uniqueplayername313 | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyYes7¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 449d |  Chrome | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | −$105 −7.5% | — |
| 450d | GeoPolArb | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | −$76 −7.5% | — |
| 450d | meowinglion9 fills | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $67,508 | +$8,620 +13% | 20 |
| 453d | oyou8123 fills | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $6,020 | −$538 −8.9% | — |
| 455d | Drowerz | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellYes4¢ → 0¢ | $1,172 | +$1,172 +100% | — |
| 455d | hughjonesd | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$511 +10% | 20 |
| 456d | 0x7853…36d8 | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,123 | +$1,123 +100% | — |
| 456d |  SemyonMarmeladov2 fills | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $42,788 | −$7,212 −17% | — |
| 456d | tdk3693 fills | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $6,080 | +$2,474 +41% | 20 |
| 456d | yoshi92 | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,076 | +$1,076 +100% | — |
| 456d |  Euan3 fills | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $12,333 | −$1,970 −16% | — |
| 456d |  Kickstand7 | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,254 | +$1,254 +100% | — |
| 456d | Euan4 fills | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $14,706 | +$2,882 +20% | 20 |
| 456d |  ciro2 | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | −$1,111 −100% | 21 |
| 457d |  archaic | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,415 | −$250 −18% | — |
| 457d | coco040678 | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,804 | +$270 +15% | 20 |
| 458d |  Funfzig2 fills | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $11,945 | +$1,786 +15% | 20 |
| 458d | 123jzi | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BuyYes13¢ → 0¢ | $1,204 | −$1,204 −100% | 21 |
| 458d |  MistaJenkins | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellYes13¢ → 0¢ | $4,218 | +$4,218 +100% | — |
| 458d |  ChironCrossing | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | SellYes13¢ → 0¢ | $2,246 | +$2,246 +100% | — |
GayPride46,916 sharesciro234,785 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or raise rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.