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Polymarket wallet 0x03fb7ab51900cb745010566c9a54d765b13dbdc9 · on Polymarket since Jul 23, 2024 · also shown as Modern-Van
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 14d | Yes | 4 | 48¢ → 53¢ | $2 | +$0 +9.4% |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?Ends in 14d | Yes | 4 | 49¢ → 48¢ | $2 | −$0 −2.0% |
| Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%?Ends in 14d | No | 2 | 79¢ → 95¢ | $2 | +$0 +20% |
| NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)Ends in 14d | National | 1 | 74¢ → 51¢ | $1 | −$0 −31% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 Mexico?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73d | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BuyNo75¢ | $8 |
| 73d | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | SellYes33¢ | $3 |
| 73d | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | SellYes50¢ | $4 |
| 73d | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BuyYes30¢ | $2 |
| 73d | Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | SellNo53¢ | $2 |
| 73d | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BuyYes30¢ | $3 |
| 73d | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? | SellNo76¢ | $3 |
| 74d | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BuyYes83¢ | $3 |
| 74d | Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | SellNo60¢ | $3 |
| 74d | Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | BuyNo54¢ | $2 |
| 74d | NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote) | BuyNational74¢ | $1 |
| 75d | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-13? AND Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-08-13? AND Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-08-13? AND Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-08-13? AND Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-08-13? AND Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-08-13? | Buy5¢ | $0 |
| 75d | Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-11? AND Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-11? AND Will Minnesota United FC vs. Atlante FC end in a draw? AND Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-11? | Buy20¢ | $1 |
| 75d | Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BuyNo61¢ | $3 |
| 75d | Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BuyYes48¢ | $2 |
| 75d | Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%? | BuyNo79¢ | $1 |
| 75d | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? | BuyYes49¢ | $2 |
| 75d | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? | BuyNo77¢ | $3 |
| 117d | Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30? | Buy12¢ | $0 |
| 119d | New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score AND Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26? | Buy2¢ | $0 |
| 119d | Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | Buy77¢ | $0 |
| 119d | Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Egypt (-1.5) AND Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5) AND Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Spain to score first vs. Uruguay? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? | Buy23¢ | $1 |
| 119d | Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 AND Uruguay vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 AND Spain to win the second half? | Buy33¢ | $1 |
| 121d | Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5 AND South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 AND Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? | Buy45¢ | $0 |
| 121d | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? AND Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? | Buy74¢ | $0 |
| 121d | Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 Mexico? | BuyYes38¢ | $2 |
| 121d | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? AND Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Buy43¢ | $1 |
| 121d | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? AND Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | Buy36¢ | $2 |
| 121d | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | BuyYes57¢ | $2 |
| 121d | Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Buy46¢ | $2 |
| 121d | Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) AND Spread: Mexico (-1.5) AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Buy30¢ | $1 |
| 121d | Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) AND Spread: Colombia (-1.5) AND Spread: Mexico (-1.5) AND Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Sell69¢ | $6 |
| 122d | Richard Ríos: 1+ goals AND Luis Suárez: 1+ assists AND Juan Fernando Quintero: 1+ goals AND James Rodríguez: 1+ assists | Buy41¢ | $1 |
| 122d | Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) AND Spread: Colombia (-1.5) AND Spread: Mexico (-1.5) AND Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Buy34¢ | $3 |
| 122d | Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Ghana? | BuyYes45¢ | $1 |
| 122d | Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | BuyYes45¢ | $2 |
| 122d | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | Buy9¢ | $3 |
| 122d | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Buy19¢ | $1 |
| 126d | Will Hurricanes win the 2026 Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final? | BuyYes91¢ | $11 |
| 179d | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | SellYes24¢ | $0 |
| 179d | Nothing Ever Happens: Obama | SellNothing80¢ | $1 |
| 179d | Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? | SellYes72¢ | $2 |
| 179d | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SellNo58¢ | $2 |
| 179d | Will Leavitt say "Despicable" or "Disgusting" during the next White House press briefing? | SellYes>99¢ | $2 |
| 179d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SellYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 179d | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SellYes46¢ | $1 |
| 179d | Nothing Ever Happens: March | SellNothing56¢ | $1 |
| 179d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | SellYes9¢ | $0 |
| 180d | Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026? | SellNo91¢ | $1 |
| 180d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | SellDown88¢ | $3 |
| 180d | Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | SellNo97¢ | $1 |
| 180d | Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? | SellNo98¢ | $1 |
| 180d | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SellYes14¢ | $1 |
| 180d | Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | SellNo99¢ | $1 |
| 180d | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SellYes51¢ | $1 |
| 180d | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SellYes49¢ | $1 |
| 180d | Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April? | SellYes49¢ | $2 |
| 180d | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SellYes4¢ | $2 |
| 180d | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? | SellNo94¢ | $2 |
| 180d | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SellYes51¢ | $4 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.