| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 36 | 98¢ → 93¢ | $33 | −$2 −5.1% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 27 | 92¢ → 84¢ | $23 | −$2 −8.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 8 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $8 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 2d | Yes | 7 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 6 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 22?Ends ended | No | 5 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 434d | No | 5 | >99¢ → 98¢ | $5 | −$0 −2.0% |
| Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 99¢ → 97¢ | $5 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 80¢ → 80¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 81¢ → 60¢ | $4 | −$1 −27% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 1h | No | 2 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 1d | Yes | 2 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?Ends in 434d | No | 2 | 98¢ → 95¢ | $2 | −$0 −2.3% |
| Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 5 | 22¢ → 28¢ | $1 | +$0 +25% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 2d | No | 1 | 83¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 22?Ends ended | No | 1 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.2% |
| Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 66¢ → 70¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.1% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?Ends ended | No | 1 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.4% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?Ends in 342d | Yes | 3 | 29¢ → 30¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.4% |
| Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $6M?Ends in 1d | No | 1 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 1 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 23, 2026?Ends in 1h | No | 1 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 1h | No | 1 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 95d | No | 1 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 1 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Ends in 3d | No | 1 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Ends ended | Yes | 1 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $1 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026?Ends in 1d | No | 1 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $1 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 1 | 97¢ → 94¢ | $1 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Ends in 249d | Yes | 1 | 99¢ → 97¢ | $1 | −$0 −2.8% |
| Will Solana dip to $100 in October?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1 | 82¢ → 78¢ | $1 | −$0 −5.5% |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | No | 1 | 96¢ → 90¢ | $1 | −$0 −6.4% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?Ends ended | Yes | 1 | 94¢ → 84¢ | $1 | −$0 −11% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?Ends ended | Yes | 1 | 91¢ → 77¢ | $1 | −$0 −16% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?Ends ended | Yes | 1 | 84¢ → 57¢ | $1 | −$0 −32% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11?Ends ended | Yes | 1 | 90¢ → 52¢ | $1 | −$0 −43% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?Ends in 18d | Yes | 2 | 82¢ → 26¢ | $1 | −$1 −69% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 3 | 79¢ → 21¢ | $1 | −$1 −74% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Ends in 434d | No | 1 | 79¢ → 28¢ | $0 | −$1 −64% |
| Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Team Resilience | 2 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 6 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 132 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 21 | 97¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | Xtreme Gaming | 7 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 3 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 33 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | 1win | 2 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 8 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BSettled - ready to redeem | PARIVISION | 2 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 8 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageSettled - ready to redeem | GLYPH | 3 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 17 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | Game Master | 14 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 24 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 179 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalSettled - ready to redeem | MOUZ | 80 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | Vici Gaming | 188 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | MOUZ | 10 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 28 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | MOUZ | 9 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | Yellow Submarine | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | OG | 91 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 2 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | Team Falcons | 5 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageSettled - ready to redeem | Conventus Stellarum | 1 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BSettled - ready to redeem | Legacy | 1 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Team Falcons | 18 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 131 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 23 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | Vici Gaming | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 33 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | Xtreme Gaming | 5 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BSettled - ready to redeem | Xtreme Gaming | 85 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Aurora | 37 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 50 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | Xtreme Gaming | 3 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | GLYPH | 4 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | Natus Vincere | 1 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 4 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageSettled - ready to redeem | Team Falcons | 35 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | GLYPH | 5 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | Yellow Submarine | 31 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | BoomBoys | 7 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
