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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 60% | +1 pts | −24 pts | 59¢ · 60¢ (1¢) | $1.83K | in 69d |
| November 30 | 33% | +2 pts | −26 pts | 32¢ · 34¢ (2¢) | $1.94K | in 38d |
| October 31 | 5% | +1 pts | −15 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (<1¢) | $4.7K | in 8d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d |  truthteller | October 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $2,375 | +$13 +0.5% | 23 |
| 1d | Fulgurator2 fills | October 31 | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $4,063 | +$330 +8.1% | 28 |
| 1d |  AllByMyseIf | December 31 | BuyYes58¢ → 60¢ | $5,050 | +$104 +2.1% | 40 |
| 1d | AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommittee | October 31 | SellNo93¢ → 96¢ | $1,860 | −$50 −2.7% | — |
| 1d | 881112 | November 30 | BuyYes32¢ → 33¢ | $1,433 | +$47 +3.3% | 41 |
| 1d |  paddaa | December 31 | SellNo45¢ → 41¢ | $2,034 | +$211 +10% | — |
| 2d |  Parz1vaI3 fills | November 30 | BuyNo64¢ → 67¢ | $8,252 | +$358 +4.3% | 40 |
| 2d | Parz1vaI2 fills | December 31 | SellNo45¢ → 41¢ | $5,633 | +$613 +11% | — |
| 2d | mybot05 | December 31 | SellNo47¢ → 41¢ | $1,041 | +$141 +14% | — |
| 2d | mybot09 | December 31 | SellNo46¢ → 41¢ | $1,023 | +$122 +12% | — |
| 2d | Parz1vaI | December 31 | BuyNo41¢ | $3,970 | −$38 −1.0% | 42 |
| 2d | paddaa2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo37¢ → 41¢ | $5,000 | +$429 +8.6% | 44 |
| 2d |  themagicofcinema | December 31 | BuyYes62¢ → 60¢ | $1,291 | −$52 −4.0% | 40 |
| 3d | asfrgth | December 31 | SellYes63¢ → 60¢ | $3,589 | +$213 +5.9% | — |
| 3d | pieped | October 31 | BuyNo92¢ → 96¢ | $2,553 | +$97 +3.8% | 25 |
| 3d | paddaa2 fills | November 30 | SellNo57¢ → 67¢ | $3,399 | −$621 −18% | — |
| 3d | Hexagon555 | October 31 | BuyNo90¢ → 96¢ | $1,125 | +$69 +6.1% | 26 |
| 3d | laureman | December 31 | SellYes68¢ → 60¢ | $1,061 | +$133 +13% | — |
| 3d |  Tenebrus7 | November 30 | BuyNo52¢ → 67¢ | $1,381 | +$407 +29% | 40 |
| 3d | Tenebrus72 fills | December 31 | BuyNo27¢ → 41¢ | $4,698 | +$2,331 +50% | 47 |
| 3d | paddaa3 fills | November 30 | BuyNo43¢ → 67¢ | $6,299 | +$3,499 +56% | 42 |
| 4d | Shiny-Mark | November 30 | BuyYes53¢ → 33¢ | $2,120 | −$800 −38% | 40 |
| 4d | AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommittee | October 31 | BuyNo85¢ → 96¢ | $1,700 | +$210 +12% | 30 |
| 4d | ZhouCD | December 31 | SellYes77¢ → 60¢ | $2,210 | +$502 +23% | — |
| 4d | themagicofcinema | December 31 | BuyNo20¢ → 41¢ | $3,162 | +$3,402 +108% | 47 |
| 4d | themagicofcinema | November 30 | SellYes56¢ → 33¢ | $2,420 | +$994 +41% | — |
| 4d | hfv2 fills | November 30 | BuyNo42¢ → 67¢ | $7,165 | +$4,190 +58% | 43 |
| 4d |  Bertapotamous2 fills | November 30 | BuyNo41¢ → 67¢ | $17,423 | +$11,181 +64% | 45 |
| 4d | Noahrichards98 | October 31 | BuyNo85¢ → 96¢ | $1,186 | +$146 +12% | 30 |
| 4d |  PredictionYogi | October 31 | SellNo84¢ → 96¢ | $3,088 | −$423 −14% | — |
| 4d | PredictionYogi | October 31 | BuyNo83¢ → 96¢ | $3,047 | +$459 +15% | 31 |
| 4d | themagicofcinema | October 31 | BuyNo82¢ → 96¢ | $2,633 | +$433 +16% | 32 |
| 4d | Bertapotamous | October 31 | BuyNo81¢ → 96¢ | $6,530 | +$1,169 +18% | 33 |
| 5d |  Lolakis | November 30 | SellNo40¢ → 67¢ | $1,007 | −$680 −67% | — |
| 5d | 0805263 fills | December 31 | BuyYes81¢ → 60¢ | $4,964 | −$1,318 −27% | 33 |
| 5d | pieped | December 31 | BuyNo20¢ → 41¢ | $1,000 | +$1,025 +102% | 40 |
| 5d |  vinii | December 31 | SellNo19¢ → 41¢ | $1,731 | −$1,959 −113% | — |
| 5d |  MisTKy2 fills | November 30 | SellYes60¢ → 33¢ | $7,313 | +$3,322 +45% | — |
| 6d | MisTKy4 fills | November 30 | BuyYes59¢ → 33¢ | $8,790 | −$3,852 −44% | 40 |
| 6d |  wienerdog | October 31 | SellNo81¢ → 96¢ | $1,812 | −$324 −18% | — |
| 6d | vinii | December 31 | BuyNo19¢ → 41¢ | $2,273 | +$2,647 +116% | 45 |
| 6d | MisTKy2 fills | October 31 | SellYes20¢ → 5¢ | $6,323 | +$4,868 +77% | — |
| 6d | MisTKy2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes19¢ → 5¢ | $3,886 | −$2,965 −76% | 48 |
| 6d |  tetrase | October 31 | BuyYes20¢ → 5¢ | $1,965 | −$1,515 −77% | 44 |
| 6d | tetrase | December 31 | BuyYes83¢ → 60¢ | $2,490 | −$705 −28% | 31 |
| 6d | WarriorH | December 31 | BuyYes82¢ → 60¢ | $1,055 | −$293 −28% | 32 |
| 6d | MisTKy3 fills | December 31 | BuyYes82¢ → 60¢ | $7,431 | −$2,015 −27% | 32 |
| 6d | hfv | October 31 | BuyNo83¢ → 96¢ | $13,221 | +$1,991 +15% | 31 |
| 6d | tetrase | October 31 | BuyNo82¢ → 96¢ | $32,739 | +$5,461 +17% | 32 |
| 6d |  bigdihhh888 | October 31 | BuyNo83¢ → 96¢ | $1,513 | +$235 +16% | 32 |
| 6d | TexMexTRex | November 30 | BuyYes59¢ → 33¢ | $1,534 | −$676 −44% | 40 |
| 7d | Parz1vaI | December 31 | BuyYes84¢ → 60¢ | $2,460 | −$717 −29% | 31 |
| 7d | wienerdog | October 31 | BuyNo72¢ → 96¢ | $1,600 | +$536 +34% | 39 |
AllByMyseIf8,663 sharestetrase4,382 shares
Car2,350 shares
BobbyBakedBeans1,043 sharespaddaa11,276 sharesTenebrus79,353 sharesParz1vaI4,095 shares
zxdfbdfgngcxv3,974 shares
cambridgeisaac1,742 sharesthemagicofcinema1,158 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual announced as an acting or interim Press Secretary will not qualify toward this market's resolution. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, regardless of when the new Press Secretary is sworn in or begins serving. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 60¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 60%.