| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 20 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$1 +4.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$0 +1.5% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 20 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 18 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $18 | +$0 +2.7% |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 62¢ → 86¢ | $17 | +$5 +39% |
| Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 7?Ends in 14d | Yes | 20 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $17 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?Ends in 76d | Yes | 20 | 53¢ → 83¢ | $17 | +$6 +57% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 85¢ → 80¢ | $16 | −$1 −5.9% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 78¢ | $16 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 20 | 86¢ → 77¢ | $15 | −$2 −11% |
| Will Erling Haaland attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | No | 20 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $15 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 20 | 85¢ → 75¢ | $15 | −$2 −12% |
| Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 20 | 52¢ → 71¢ | $14 | +$4 +37% |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 26¢ → 69¢ | $14 | +$9 +163% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 93¢ → 68¢ | $14 | −$5 −27% |
| Will Teeny Brumby win the next Burnie mayoral election?Ends in 4d | No | 20 | 59¢ → 66¢ | $13 | +$1 +11% |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 20 | 74¢ → 62¢ | $12 | −$3 −17% |
| Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 20 | 59¢ → 60¢ | $12 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Ends in 3d | No | 20 | 5¢ → 59¢ | $12 | +$11 +1087% |
| Will Rob Burton win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 20 | 74¢ → 59¢ | $12 | −$3 −20% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Ends in 6d | Yes | 20 | 64¢ → 59¢ | $12 | −$1 −8.6% |
| Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 20 | 51¢ → 54¢ | $11 | +$1 +5.9% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027?Ends in 84d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 54¢ | $11 | −$5 −30% |
| Will Patrik Stenvard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Ends ended | No | 10 | 25¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$8 +296% |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 20 | 45¢ → 48¢ | $10 | +$1 +5.6% |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 47d | Yes | 20 | 60¢ → 48¢ | $10 | −$3 −21% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 20 | 79¢ → 48¢ | $10 | −$6 −40% |
| Will Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral election?Ends in 4d | No | 25 | 61¢ → 38¢ | $9 | −$6 −39% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 20 | 64¢ → 44¢ | $9 | −$4 −32% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?Ends in 250d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 86¢ | $9 | −$0 −5.1% |
| Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | No | 20 | 58¢ → 42¢ | $8 | −$3 −28% |
| Will Prodigy SEG Win the 2026 Esports Supporting Service of the Year Award?Ends in 52d | Yes | 20 | 26¢ → 40¢ | $8 | +$3 +54% |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?Ends in 5d | No | 20 | 50¢ → 40¢ | $8 | −$2 −21% |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?Ends in 77d | No | 20 | 51¢ → 38¢ | $8 | −$2 −24% |
| Will Harry Shum Jr. be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?Ends in 4d | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 38¢ | $8 | +$7 +669% |
| Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 54¢ → 38¢ | $8 | −$3 −29% |
| Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 20 | 38¢ → 35¢ | $7 | −$1 −7.9% |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 20 | 60¢ → 35¢ | $7 | −$5 −41% |
| Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 30¢ → 33¢ | $7 | +$1 +8.3% |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 57¢ → 32¢ | $6 | −$5 −44% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the December meeting?Ends in 55d | No | 20 | 51¢ → 32¢ | $6 | −$4 −38% |
| Will Dagmar Škodová Parmová be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Ends in 249d | No | 20 | 60¢ → 31¢ | $6 | −$6 −48% |
| Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 20 | 45¢ → 31¢ | $6 | −$3 −32% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 20 | 61¢ → 30¢ | $6 | −$6 −52% |
| Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 20 | 38¢ → 26¢ | $5 | −$2 −32% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 20 | 51¢ → 26¢ | $5 | −$5 −49% |
| Will "Clayface" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 2d | Yes | 20 | 52¢ → 26¢ | $5 | −$5 −51% |
| Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 2d | No | 20 | 37¢ → 25¢ | $5 | −$2 −32% |
| Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?Ends in 10d | Yes | 20 | 44¢ → 25¢ | $5 | −$4 −43% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 20 | 50¢ → 23¢ | $5 | −$6 −55% |
| Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 23¢ | $5 | −$1 −10% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 8 | 75¢ → 52¢ | $4 | −$2 −31% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Zakitne by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 90¢ → 20¢ | $4 | −$14 −78% |
| Will Elizabeth Roy win the 2026 Whitby mayoral election?Ends in 2d | No | 20 | 37¢ → 20¢ | $4 | −$4 −47% |
| Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 24% to 26%?Ends in 4d | Yes | 4 | 90¢ → 80¢ | $4 | −$0 −11% |
| Will Maurizio Massari be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 19 | 3¢ → 19¢ | $4 | +$3 +520% |
| Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?Ends in 76d | Yes | 4 | 51¢ → 95¢ | $4 | +$2 +86% |
| Will Harry Shum Jr. be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?Ends in 4d | No | 6 | 91¢ → 62¢ | $4 | −$2 −32% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?Ends in 1d | Yes | 5 | 91¢ → 65¢ | $4 | −$1 −29% |
| Rain during the United States Grand Prix?Ends in 9d | Yes | 20 | 47¢ → 17¢ | $3 | −$6 −65% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 33d | No | 10 | 49¢ → 31¢ | $3 | −$2 −37% |
| Will Kaka attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | Yes | 20 | 65¢ → 15¢ | $3 | −$10 −77% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?Ends in 4d | Yes | 20 | 67¢ → 15¢ | $3 | −$10 −78% |
| Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | No | 20 | 39¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$5 −63% |
| Will Diana Javorčíková win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 5 | 50¢ → 57¢ | $3 | +$0 +15% |
| Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 13¢ | $3 | −$2 −48% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 55¢ → 49¢ | $2 | −$0 −12% |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Kolkata municipal election?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $2 | −$0 −7.7% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?Ends in 18d | No | 20 | 51¢ → 11¢ | $2 | −$8 −78% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?Ends in 18d | No | 20 | 45¢ → 11¢ | $2 | −$7 −76% |
| Will Kameto Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?Ends in 52d | Yes | 20 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $2 | $0 0.0% |
| Lyon curfew effectively lifted by November 7?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 14¢ → 11¢ | $2 | −$1 −25% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?Ends in 250d | Yes | 20 | 14¢ → 10¢ | $2 | −$1 −32% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2 | 93¢ → 70¢ | $2 | −$1 −25% |
| Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 434d | Yes | 20 | 14¢ → 8¢ | $2 | −$1 −45% |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 2 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $2 | +$0 +6.8% |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Ends in 3d | No | 29 | 37¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$9 −87% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 2 | 51¢ → 59¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Paper Trail win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 20 | 36¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$6 −85% |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 2 | 44¢ → 60¢ | $1 | +$0 +36% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2 | 50¢ → 51¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$0 −9.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AR-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $1 | $0 0.0% |
| Will SB Energy not IPO before January 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$0 −31% |
| Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 434d | Yes | 20 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$1 −35% |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 2 | 50¢ → 42¢ | $1 | −$0 −17% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$1 −43% |
| Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?Ends in 10d | Yes | 20 | 42¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$8 −89% |
| Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?Ends in 10d | Yes | 20 | 40¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$7 −89% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$0 −20% |
| Will Peyz win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?Ends in 36d | Yes | 9 | 22¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$1 −57% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-04 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$0 −24% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$0 −27% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-16 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$0 −27% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 27, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 1 | 73¢ → 79¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.2% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends ended | No | 10 | 7¢ → 8¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-15 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$0 −31% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $11M?Ends in 1d | No | 40 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$1 −61% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?Ends in 2d | No | 20 | 32¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$6 −89% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OR-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$1 −49% |
