| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 12d | No | 1,646 | 70¢ → 61¢ | $996 | −$151 −13% |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 434d | No | 513 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $479 | +$7 +1.4% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 621 | 64¢ → 68¢ | $419 | +$22 +5.5% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 577 | 69¢ → 72¢ | $412 | +$14 +3.5% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 622 | 59¢ → 64¢ | $398 | +$33 +9.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?Ends in 12d | No | 390 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $349 | +$13 +4.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 329 | 72¢ → 97¢ | $320 | +$84 +36% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 348 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $306 | +$1 +0.3% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 333 | 74¢ → 87¢ | $290 | +$45 +18% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 431 | 66¢ → 63¢ | $272 | −$13 −4.7% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 305 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $260 | −$5 −1.8% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 373 | 67¢ → 68¢ | $255 | +$6 +2.5% |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 510 | 47¢ → 42¢ | $212 | −$27 −11% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 744 | 31¢ → 27¢ | $197 | −$33 −15% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 398 | 36¢ → 43¢ | $169 | +$26 +18% |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 233 | 69¢ → 63¢ | $147 | −$14 −8.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 12d | No | 166 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $144 | −$2 −1.5% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 12d | No | 155 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $143 | −$0 −0.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 383 | 55¢ → 35¢ | $134 | −$76 −36% |
| Will Katie Pavlich be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 434d | No | 132 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $129 | −$2 −1.2% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 434d | Yes | 235 | 66¢ → 55¢ | $128 | −$28 −18% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 130 | 75¢ → 90¢ | $117 | +$19 +19% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 154 | 76¢ → 75¢ | $115 | −$2 −2.0% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 281 | 31¢ → 41¢ | $114 | +$28 +32% |
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Ends ended | Yes | 115 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $110 | +$14 +14% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 170 | 74¢ → 62¢ | $105 | −$22 −17% |
| Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Ends in 23h | Yes | 127 | 47¢ → 59¢ | $75 | +$15 +25% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?Ends in 12d | No | 81 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $74 | +$2 +2.2% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 110 | 44¢ → 67¢ | $74 | +$26 +54% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 416 | 39¢ → 18¢ | $73 | −$89 −55% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 133 | 68¢ → 51¢ | $67 | −$23 −25% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | Yes | 83 | 36¢ → 79¢ | $66 | +$36 +119% |
| Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 86 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $62 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 78 | 81¢ → 76¢ | $59 | −$4 −6.2% |
| Will Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | No | 71 | 70¢ → 81¢ | $57 | +$8 +16% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | No | 361 | 51¢ → 15¢ | $54 | −$129 −70% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Ends in 434d | No | 58 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $53 | −$1 −2.3% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 60 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $52 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 101 | 36¢ → 50¢ | $50 | +$14 +38% |
| Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?Ends in 4d | No | 58 | 96¢ → 82¢ | $48 | −$8 −15% |
| Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?Ends in 12d | No | 89 | 58¢ → 50¢ | $44 | −$8 −15% |
| Will Janice Frampton win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election?Ends in 2d | No | 46 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $43 | +$2 +5.6% |
| Will Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 61 | 74¢ → 63¢ | $38 | −$7 −14% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 78 | 59¢ → 49¢ | $38 | −$8 −17% |
| Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?Ends in 69d | No | 38 | 12¢ → 97¢ | $37 | +$33 +719% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 217 | 19¢ → 17¢ | $37 | −$4 −11% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 47 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $37 | +$3 +8.6% |
| Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Ends ended | Yes | 42 | 72¢ → 86¢ | $36 | +$6 +19% |
| Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | No | 49 | 90¢ → 72¢ | $35 | −$9 −20% |
| Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?Ends ended | Yes | 36 | 18¢ → 94¢ | $34 | +$27 +433% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 23h | Yes | 48 | 67¢ → 69¢ | $33 | +$1 +3.6% |
| Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Ends in 226d | No | 55 | 76¢ → 56¢ | $31 | −$11 −26% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 43 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $31 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 44 | 49¢ → 68¢ | $30 | +$8 +38% |
| Will Agbu Kefas win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | Yes | 38 | 72¢ → 79¢ | $30 | +$2 +8.7% |
| Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Ends in 23h | No | 34 | 74¢ → 87¢ | $29 | +$4 +17% |
| Will Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 46 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?Ends in 4d | No | 44 | 95¢ → 65¢ | $29 | −$13 −32% |
| Will Ibrahim Abba Gana win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | No | 31 | >99¢ → 93¢ | $28 | −$2 −7.0% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 113 | 68¢ → 25¢ | $28 | −$48 −63% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 297 | 17¢ → 10¢ | $28 | −$23 −45% |
| Will Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Ends in 23h | No | 38 | 52¢ → 73¢ | $27 | +$8 +39% |
| Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 434d | No | 27 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $26 | +$1 +2.3% |
| Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 81 | 38¢ → 31¢ | $25 | −$6 −20% |
| Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Ends in 249d | Yes | 25 | 39¢ → 97¢ | $24 | +$15 +150% |
| Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 31 | 88¢ → 78¢ | $24 | −$3 −12% |
| Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 26 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $24 | +$4 +20% |
| Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 50 | 90¢ → 46¢ | $23 | −$22 −49% |
| Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Ends in 226d | No | 102 | 75¢ → 23¢ | $23 | −$54 −70% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 143 | 18¢ → 16¢ | $22 | −$4 −14% |
| Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Ends ended | No | 23 | 26¢ → 97¢ | $22 | +$16 +272% |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 30 | 57¢ → 71¢ | $21 | +$4 +23% |
| Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | Yes | 71 | 50¢ → 28¢ | $20 | −$16 −44% |
| Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 23h | Yes | 19 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $19 | +$2 +12% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 50 | 41¢ → 38¢ | $19 | −$2 −7.3% |
| Will Giovanna Simpson win the next Burnie mayoral election?Ends in 4d | No | 33 | 90¢ → 57¢ | $19 | −$11 −37% |
| Will Michael Eamon win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 19 | 75¢ → 96¢ | $18 | +$4 +28% |
| Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 23 | 37¢ → 78¢ | $18 | +$9 +109% |
| Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?Ends ended | Yes | 28 | 80¢ → 63¢ | $18 | −$5 −21% |
| Will Branislav Baroš win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?Ends in 23h | Yes | 47 | 42¢ → 36¢ | $17 | −$3 −16% |
| Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Ends in 23h | Yes | 19 | 59¢ → 87¢ | $17 | +$5 +47% |
| Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 41 | 58¢ → 40¢ | $16 | −$8 −32% |
| Will Steve Martin win the next Devonport mayoral election?Ends in 4d | No | 26 | 79¢ → 62¢ | $16 | −$4 −22% |
| Will Kristian Horvath win the next Sorell mayoral election?Ends in 4d | No | 25 | 96¢ → 63¢ | $16 | −$8 −34% |
| Will Bill Harvey win the next Hobart mayoral election?Ends in 4d | No | 20 | 90¢ → 78¢ | $16 | −$2 −13% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 5d | Yes | 19 | 76¢ → 84¢ | $15 | +$1 +9.9% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 32 | 72¢ → 48¢ | $15 | −$8 −34% |
| Will Len Isleifson win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?Ends in 5d | No | 23 | 65¢ → 67¢ | $15 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 468 | 27¢ → 3¢ | $14 | −$111 −89% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 3,568 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $14 | −$5 −26% |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 69¢ → 70¢ | $14 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 26 | 41¢ → 55¢ | $14 | +$4 +34% |
| Will Alfonso Martínez Alcázar win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Ends in 226d | No | 14 | >99¢ → 97¢ | $14 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Ends in 2d | No | 14 | 49¢ → 87¢ | $13 | +$5 +77% |
| Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?Ends ended | Yes | 27 | 79¢ → 45¢ | $12 | −$9 −44% |
| Will Jo Westwood win the next Kingborough mayoral election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 17 | 52¢ → 69¢ | $12 | +$3 +33% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Ends in 434d | No | 14 | 86¢ → 79¢ | $11 | −$1 −8.1% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 281d | No | 12 | 74¢ → 92¢ | $11 | +$2 +25% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 121 | 17¢ → 9¢ | $10 | −$10 −50% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 16 | 77¢ → 64¢ | $10 | −$2 −17% |
