| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 3,092 | 91¢ → 77¢ | $2,365 | −$445 −16% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 1,929 | 25¢ → 94¢ | $1,803 | +$1,324 +276% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 1,627 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $1,589 | +$139 +9.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,012 | 12¢ → 66¢ | $1,333 | +$1,089 +447% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 733 | 81¢ → 91¢ | $668 | +$71 +12% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 823 | 70¢ → 78¢ | $638 | +$61 +11% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 765 | 76¢ → 83¢ | $631 | +$51 +8.8% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 691 | 77¢ → 91¢ | $625 | +$94 +18% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 647 | 76¢ → 87¢ | $559 | +$66 +13% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 586 | 74¢ → 87¢ | $507 | +$72 +17% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 511 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $483 | +$37 +8.2% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 490 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $463 | +$18 +4.0% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 494 | 71¢ → 89¢ | $438 | +$88 +25% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 442 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $425 | +$14 +3.3% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 401 | 71¢ → 95¢ | $380 | +$96 +34% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 379 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $358 | +$19 +5.6% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 323 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $312 | +$24 +8.2% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 323 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $297 | +$12 +4.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 303 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $269 | −$4 −1.6% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 291 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $261 | +$11 +4.4% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 256 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $231 | +$14 +6.5% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 218 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $203 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 227 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $203 | +$2 +0.8% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 212 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $198 | −$1 −0.4% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 212 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $180 | +$2 +1.0% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 204 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $180 | +$3 +1.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 219 | 75¢ → 78¢ | $171 | +$6 +3.4% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 184 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $165 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 162 | 91¢ → >99¢ | $162 | +$14 +9.5% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 856 | 43¢ → 18¢ | $154 | −$214 −58% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 164 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $153 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 655 | 53¢ → 23¢ | $151 | −$197 −57% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 202 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $150 | −$4 −2.6% |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $137 | +$7 +5.6% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 139 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $132 | +$2 +1.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 134 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $131 | +$10 +8.6% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 137 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $126 | +$11 +9.9% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 137 | 95¢ → 92¢ | $125 | −$4 −3.3% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 118 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $111 | +$6 +5.6% |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 567 | 27¢ → 19¢ | $105 | −$49 −32% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 127 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $91 | +$2 +2.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 99 | 81¢ → 89¢ | $87 | +$7 +9.2% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 94 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $87 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 88 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $78 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?Ends in 100d | No | 80 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $77 | +$3 +3.7% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 90 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $77 | −$2 −1.9% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 90 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $77 | −$2 −1.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 96 | 81¢ → 79¢ | $76 | −$3 −3.4% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 429 | 41¢ → 16¢ | $69 | −$108 −61% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 74 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $67 | +$4 +6.6% |
| SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 77 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $67 | +$4 +5.9% |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 69 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $63 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 75 | 40¢ → 81¢ | $60 | +$30 +101% |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 66 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $60 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 56 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $49 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 54 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $49 | +$2 +3.6% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $45 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 69d | Yes | 278 | 28¢ → 16¢ | $45 | −$34 −43% |
| Amelia Earhart’s plane found by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 37 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $35 | +$4 +13% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 48 | 65¢ → 73¢ | $35 | +$4 +12% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 36 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $34 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 44 | 71¢ → 74¢ | $33 | +$1 +3.5% |
| Will AI solve the strong Goldbach conjecture in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 35 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $32 | +$0 +1.1% |
| McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 33 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $31 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 38 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $31 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 37 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $31 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 33 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $30 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 33 | 93¢ → 89¢ | $30 | −$1 −3.3% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 39 | 81¢ → 77¢ | $30 | −$2 −5.6% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 36 | 88¢ → 82¢ | $29 | −$2 −6.8% |
| Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 34 | 94¢ → 87¢ | $29 | −$3 −8.1% |
| Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 34 | 92¢ → 85¢ | $29 | −$3 −8.2% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 143 | 22¢ → 18¢ | $25 | −$6 −20% |
| Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 36 | 87¢ → 64¢ | $23 | −$8 −26% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$1 +7.8% |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 18 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $17 | +$1 +8.1% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 18 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $16 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $14 | −$0 −2.6% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 16 | 91¢ → 86¢ | $14 | −$1 −6.0% |
