| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 100 | 67¢ → 94¢ | $94 | +$27 +40% |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 80 | 61¢ → 98¢ | $78 | +$29 +60% |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 83 | 58¢ → 90¢ | $74 | +$26 +54% |
| Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | No | 80 | 59¢ → 87¢ | $70 | +$22 +47% |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?Ends in 6d | No | 70 | 56¢ → 91¢ | $64 | +$25 +63% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 74 | 55¢ → 76¢ | $56 | +$15 +37% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 83 | 60¢ → 60¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 52 | 46¢ → 91¢ | $47 | +$23 +98% |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 50 | 50¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$22 +88% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 30, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 76 | 55¢ → 49¢ | $37 | −$5 −11% |
| Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 48 | 28¢ → 64¢ | $30 | +$17 +127% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 29 | 31¢ → 98¢ | $28 | +$19 +215% |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 41 | 39¢ → 68¢ | $28 | +$12 +73% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Ends in 6d | Yes | 40 | 39¢ → 68¢ | $27 | +$12 +74% |
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?Ends in 8d | No | 39 | 35¢ → 68¢ | $27 | +$13 +94% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 55 | 41¢ → 40¢ | $22 | −$1 −2.4% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Ends in 6d | No | 45 | 29¢ → 36¢ | $16 | +$3 +24% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 35 | 7¢ → 44¢ | $16 | +$13 +534% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Ends in 434d | Yes | 58 | 48¢ → 25¢ | $14 | −$14 −49% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 40 | 22¢ → 28¢ | $11 | +$2 +25% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | Yes | 49 | 30¢ → 19¢ | $9 | −$6 −38% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 38 | 20¢ → 23¢ | $8 | +$1 +14% |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 45 | 27¢ → 19¢ | $8 | −$4 −31% |
| Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 45 | 31¢ → 18¢ | $8 | −$6 −42% |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 23 | 13¢ → 35¢ | $8 | +$5 +165% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 9 | 45¢ → 76¢ | $7 | +$3 +70% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 45 | 25¢ → 14¢ | $6 | −$5 −46% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | No | 20 | 60¢ → 21¢ | $4 | −$8 −65% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | No | 19 | 47¢ → 15¢ | $3 | −$6 −68% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 60 | 55¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$31 −93% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 40 | 18¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$6 −83% |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 73 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| GitHub.com critical incident by September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 23 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 29 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| NYPost cover features $Laptop by September 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 39 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 80 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 38 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)Settled - ready to redeem | No | 45 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 45 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 28 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 20 million views in week 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 84 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Will Solana reach $130 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 47 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Spain snap election called by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 33 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 35 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Kamu Kirk be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 6)?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 102 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 44 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 17-23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Claudia Sheinbaum in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Javier Milei in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Nvidia say "AI" 20+ times during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 86 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 48 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 39 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 38 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 29 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 27 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 45 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 21?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
