| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 1,798 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $1,663 | +$93 +5.9% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,040 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $993 | +$27 +2.8% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 863 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $831 | −$5 −0.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,002 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $827 | −$13 −1.5% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 491 | 74¢ → 82¢ | $400 | +$38 +10% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 304 | 82¢ → 92¢ | $278 | +$28 +11% |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 373 | 79¢ → 71¢ | $263 | −$34 −11% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 3,079 | 32¢ → 9¢ | $262 | −$731 −74% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 282 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $253 | +$10 +4.1% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 224 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $218 | −$1 −0.4% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 2,387 | 64¢ → 9¢ | $203 | −$1,335 −87% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 96d | No | 188 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $186 | +$4 +2.4% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 139 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $136 | +$1 +0.9% |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 129 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $125 | +$7 +5.9% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 110 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $106 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 112 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $93 | +$6 +6.3% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 286 | 24¢ → 26¢ | $73 | +$3 +4.7% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 75 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $72 | +$2 +2.8% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | Yes | 89 | 47¢ → 80¢ | $71 | +$29 +68% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 73 | 67¢ → 94¢ | $69 | +$20 +40% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 64 | 81¢ → 85¢ | $54 | +$2 +4.3% |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 49 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $49 | +$0 +0.8% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$2 +5.5% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 47 | 55¢ → 81¢ | $38 | +$12 +46% |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Ends in 434d | Yes | 40 | 43¢ → 88¢ | $35 | +$18 +103% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 36 | 76¢ → 88¢ | $31 | +$4 +15% |
| Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting?Ends in 166d | No | 31 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $27 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 31 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $26 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 89 | 18¢ → 30¢ | $26 | +$10 +64% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 28 | 46¢ → 92¢ | $25 | +$13 +99% |
| France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 25 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $25 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 29 | 90¢ → 72¢ | $21 | −$5 −20% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 34 | 40¢ → 57¢ | $20 | +$6 +43% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $19 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 18 | 79¢ → 97¢ | $18 | +$3 +22% |
| Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 17 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $17 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 17 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $16 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 72 | 36¢ → 21¢ | $15 | −$11 −42% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 24 | 45¢ → 63¢ | $15 | +$4 +38% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 253 | 34¢ → 6¢ | $14 | −$72 −84% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 13 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $12 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | No | 15 | 35¢ → 82¢ | $12 | +$7 +137% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 59¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$4 +68% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 67¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$3 +40% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 85¢ | $8 | −$1 −6.5% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 8 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | No | 8 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $8 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 7 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 7 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $7 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 7 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $6 | +$1 +12% |
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $6 | +$0 +7.6% |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 86¢ → 73¢ | $6 | −$1 −15% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 17 | 54¢ → 26¢ | $4 | −$5 −53% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 64¢ → 78¢ | $4 | +$1 +21% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 12 | 77¢ → 28¢ | $3 | −$6 −63% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 47d | Yes | 2 | 89¢ → 78¢ | $2 | −$0 −13% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 2 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 15¢ | $2 | +$1 +65% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 5 | 41¢ → 20¢ | $1 | −$1 −52% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1 | 75¢ → 13¢ | $0 | −$1 −83% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 5 | 37¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$2 −97% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Hanwha Life Esports | 2,333 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,643 −100% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Dplus KIA Challengers | 370 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | LOUD | 372 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$267 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 32 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Settled - ready to redeem | MOUZ | 3,432 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$205 −100% |
| LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Team Liquid | 788 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$158 −100% |
| Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Carstensz | 249 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$121 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 13 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular SeasonSettled - ready to redeem | Eintracht Spandau | 1,351 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$917 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 51 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 24 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | MOUZ | 3,827 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,088 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on May 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | mCon esports | 245 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$101 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 74 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Natus Vincere | 432 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$244 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 176 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 229 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | REKONIX | 230 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$163 −100% |
| LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Top Esports | 726 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$611 −100% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Anyone's Legend | 572 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$296 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 189 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Bilibili Gaming | 4,549 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,203 −100% |
| LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Team Liquid | 1,248 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$235 −100% |
| Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | T1 | 625 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$205 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2Settled - ready to redeem | paiN | 164 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | REKONIX | 548 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$248 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 147 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | UCAM Esports Club | 392 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$152 −100% |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Karmine Corp | 1,522 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$714 −100% |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group StageSettled - ready to redeem | DN SOOPers | 415 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$302 −100% |
