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Polymarket wallet 0x4964e3bb8b183a139b75b7e381dfe1a4f2a94a05 · on Polymarket since Nov 9, 2025 · also shown as Starchy-Deduction
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 59 | 58¢ → 78¢ | $46 | +$12 +34% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Mercedes finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 19 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.