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Polymarket wallet 0x52c9cdf43e4185cafbb018162413227f17b20255 · on Polymarket since Feb 23, 2025 · also shown as Happy-Riser
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 84¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +19% |
| Will Israel or Iran break the ceasefire first?Settled - ready to redeem | Israel | 2 | 63¢ → 50¢ | $1 | −$0 −21% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel military action against Iran in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US forces in Iran before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 136 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.