Oliverstewart21

Polymarket wallet 0x5c4253aaf9b060dcd4d6dbf4946b7a7cc8c36288 · on Polymarket since Oct 14, 2024 · also shown as Regal-Search

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $378
All-time profit: −$0.751
Volume traded: $7.1K
All-time rank: #1,239,636
Markets traded: 55
Recent hit rate: 52%11 of last 21 closed

Open positions

33 markets · $378

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 68d	Yes	105	79¢ → 59¢	$62	−$21 −26%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d	Yes	156	40¢ → 37¢	$57	−$5 −7.9%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 72d	No	70	53¢ → 75¢	$52	+$15 +40%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 10d	Yes	663	12¢ → 8¢	$50	−$31 −39%
Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?Ends in 188d	No	20	94¢ → 97¢	$19	+$1 +3.3%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 68d	No	22	89¢ → 86¢	$19	−$1 −3.9%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 72d	No	50	26¢ → 38¢	$19	+$6 +47%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 68d	No	15	78¢ → 78¢	$12	−$0 −0.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d	No	14	71¢ → 83¢	$12	+$2 +16%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 72d	No	150	7¢ → 7¢	$10	−$1 −11%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d	No	12	86¢ → 82¢	$9	−$1 −5.2%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d	Yes	143	7¢ → 6¢	$8	−$2 −21%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 10d	No	10	70¢ → 78¢	$8	+$1 +11%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 72d	No	32	31¢ → 21¢	$7	−$3 −32%
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?Ends in 8d	Yes	17	6¢ → 37¢	$6	+$5 +523%
Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026?Ends in 88d	Yes	231	3¢ → 3¢	$6	−$0 −0.2%
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?Ends in 8d	Yes	17	40¢ → 29¢	$5	−$2 −27%
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d	Yes	19	27¢ → 26¢	$5	−$0 −5.6%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $200 in October?Ends in 7d	Yes	30	15¢ → 8¢	$2	−$2 −46%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseEnds in 10d	Yes	277	1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$0 +19%
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?Ends in 8d	Yes	17	11¢ → 12¢	$2	+$0 +9.1%
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 88d	Yes	16	32¢ → 13¢	$2	−$3 −60%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on October 31?Ends in 7d	Yes	53	21¢ → 3¢	$1	−$10 −88%
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?Ends in 8d	Yes	10	14¢ → 13¢	$1	−$0 −7.1%
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?Ends in 88d	Yes	18	28¢ → 5¢	$1	−$4 −82%
Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?Ends in 8d	Yes	17	25¢ → 5¢	$1	−$3 −80%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Settled - ready to redeem	No	31	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	50	19¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	10	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	600	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Settled - ready to redeem	No	83	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem	No	250	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Iran leadership change by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	91	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
1d	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	BuyYes25¢	$4
1d	Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	BuyYes11¢	$2
1d	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	BuyYes40¢	$7
1d	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	BuyYes6¢	$1
1d	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	BuyYes14¢	$1
3d	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	SellYes46¢	$8
3d	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	SellYes2¢	$2
4d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	BuyNo31¢	$10
4d	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on October 20?	SellNo10¢	$2
4d	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	SellNo19¢	$0
4d	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 in October?	BuyYes91¢	$15
4d	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on October 20?	BuyNo21¢	$5
5d	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	BuyYes4¢	$1
5d	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	BuyYes4¢	$1
5d	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31?	SellYes20¢	$4
5d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BuyYes68¢	$10
6d	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	BuyYes48¢	$5
8d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BuyYes70¢	$20
8d	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	BuyNo78¢	$12
9d	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on October 31?	BuyYes7¢	$1
11d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	BuyNo8¢	$4
14d	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	SellYes29¢	$6
15d	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	SellYes22¢	$37
15d	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	BuyYes24¢	$18
15d	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	BuyYes24¢	$6
15d	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	BuyYes38¢	$39
16d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BuyYes86¢	$43
16d	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	BuyYes35¢	$14
16d	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	BuyYes27¢	$14
16d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	BuyNo55¢	$11
16d	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	BuyNo12¢	$0
17d	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	BuyYes20¢	$4
17d	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $760 in October?	BuyYes84¢	$12
17d	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $760 in October?	BuyYes84¢	$5
17d	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $200 in October?	BuyYes15¢	$5
17d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BuyYes89¢	$10
18d	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on October 31?	BuyYes30¢	$10
18d	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31?	BuyYes58¢	$12
18d	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	BuyYes28¢	$6
18d	Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?	BuyNo94¢	$19
19d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	SellYes19¢	$10
19d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	BuyYes19¢	$10
19d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	BuyNo27¢	$6
19d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	BuyNo7¢	$4
19d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	BuyNo55¢	$11
22d	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	BuyYes44¢	$3
22d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	BuyNo53¢	$5
22d	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	BuyYes8¢	$17
23d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	BuyNo7¢	$4
23d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	BuyNo25¢	$3
23d	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	BuyNo70¢	$7
24d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	BuyNo25¢	$5
24d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	BuyNo50¢	$10
25d	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	BuyYes8¢	$16
26d	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BuyYes7¢	$5
28d	Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026?	BuyYes3¢	$1
28d	Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026?	BuyYes3¢	$0
28d	Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026?	BuyYes3¢	$3
29d	Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026?	BuyYes3¢	$0
29d	Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026?	BuyYes2¢	$0

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 21 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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