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Polymarket wallet 0x72897c5d022d65a8bd5c24799e365ddaa69fe306 · on Polymarket since Jan 4, 2026 · also shown as Lumpy-Commuter
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 105 | 7¢ → 15¢ | $16 | +$9 +127% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 73 | 27¢ → 6¢ | $4 | −$16 −78% |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Kurds declare independence from Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12,932 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,866 −100% |
| Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,769 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$358 −100% |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,534 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$306 −100% |
| Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,067 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$366 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 22 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.