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Polymarket wallet 0x86a374adda60c2b15e041b8d353a8afc4527c954 · on Polymarket since Oct 24, 2024 · also shown as Expert-Birdbath
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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 17 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $16 | +$1 +9.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 12 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 11 | 92¢ → 53¢ | $6 | −$4 −42% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 26 | 19¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$4 −81% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 37 | 13¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$4 −83% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −53% |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Thunder vs. HeatSettled - ready to redeem | Thunder | 9 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 36 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.