| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?Ends in 438d | No | 150 | 56¢ → 93¢ | $139 | +$56 +67% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 91 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $80 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 130 | 36¢ → 55¢ | $71 | +$25 +53% |
| Will Tom Holland receive an Oscar nomination?Ends in 93d | No | 63 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $57 | −$2 −3.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 102 | 59¢ → 49¢ | $50 | −$10 −17% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?Ends in 163d | Yes | 100 | 50¢ → 49¢ | $49 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 50 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$9 +23% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 52¢ → 84¢ | $42 | +$16 +62% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 152 | 44¢ → 28¢ | $42 | −$26 −38% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 15d | Yes | 49 | 91¢ → 84¢ | $41 | −$3 −7.7% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 57 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 262 | 23¢ → 14¢ | $35 | −$25 −41% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 104d | Yes | 86 | 47¢ → 40¢ | $34 | −$6 −14% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends in 2d | Yes | 35 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $34 | +$1 +3.5% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 438d | No | 40 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $33 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 50d | No | 100 | 41¢ → 33¢ | $33 | −$9 −21% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 37 | 82¢ → 84¢ | $31 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 40 | 71¢ → 74¢ | $29 | +$1 +4.3% |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Ends in 104d | Yes | 100 | 47¢ → 28¢ | $28 | −$20 −41% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 104d | No | 66 | 61¢ → 41¢ | $27 | −$13 −33% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?Ends in 12d | No | 26 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $25 | +$1 +4.9% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 50 | 53¢ → 49¢ | $25 | −$2 −7.5% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ends in 438d | Yes | 26 | 77¢ → 93¢ | $24 | +$4 +20% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 9d | Yes | 28 | 71¢ → 85¢ | $24 | +$4 +19% |
| Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 254d | Yes | 55 | 36¢ → 42¢ | $23 | +$3 +15% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 27 | 75¢ → 87¢ | $23 | +$3 +15% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 27 | 74¢ → 85¢ | $23 | +$3 +14% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 54 | 56¢ → 42¢ | $22 | −$8 −25% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?Ends in 12d | No | 22 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $22 | +$2 +8.5% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 104d | Yes | 25 | 79¢ → 86¢ | $22 | +$2 +8.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 28 | 71¢ → 75¢ | $21 | +$1 +4.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 11d | Yes | 24 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $21 | +$1 +4.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 22 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $21 | +$1 +3.4% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 438d | Yes | 100 | 37¢ → 21¢ | $21 | −$16 −44% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 11d | No | 22 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 22 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $20 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 36¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$13 +175% |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 40 | 60¢ → 49¢ | $20 | −$4 −18% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 20 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$4 +25% |
| Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 20 | 43¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$11 +122% |
| Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?Ends in 16d | No | 20 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$3 +19% |
| Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?Ends in 1d | Yes | 20 | 24¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$14 +294% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by September 30, 2026?Ends ended | No | 20 | 75¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$4 +25% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 42d | Yes | 91 | 44¢ → 20¢ | $18 | −$22 −55% |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 93d | Yes | 20 | 68¢ → 86¢ | $17 | +$4 +27% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by March 31, 2027?Ends in 163d | No | 20 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $17 | +$1 +6.2% |
| Will John James Akpanudoedehe win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Ends in 110d | No | 20 | 79¢ → 84¢ | $17 | +$1 +6.4% |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?Ends in 45d | No | 19 | 72¢ → 86¢ | $16 | +$3 +19% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 20 | 84¢ → 80¢ | $16 | −$1 −4.9% |
| Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 42d | No | 20 | 84¢ → 80¢ | $16 | −$1 −5.7% |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $503,000 and $507,000 on December 31?Ends in 83d | No | 20 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $16 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 20 | 49¢ → 79¢ | $15 | +$6 +60% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 41d | Yes | 26 | 64¢ → 59¢ | $15 | −$1 −8.6% |
| Will no live-action Miles Morales actor be chosen by end of 2027?Ends in 438d | Yes | 20 | 37¢ → 77¢ | $15 | +$8 +108% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 15d | No | 20 | 60¢ → 76¢ | $15 | +$3 +28% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 438d | Yes | 30 | 60¢ → 51¢ | $15 | −$3 −16% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 438d | No | 20 | 73¢ → 77¢ | $15 | +$1 +5.7% |
| Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 44¢ → 75¢ | $15 | +$6 +70% |
| Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?Ends in 27d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 71¢ | $14 | −$1 −7.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 15d | No | 40 | 48¢ → 35¢ | $14 | −$6 −29% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 15d | Yes | 20 | 70¢ → 69¢ | $14 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Extended listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?Ends in 469d | No | 20 | 78¢ → 67¢ | $13 | −$2 −15% |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 66¢ | $13 | −$2 −13% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 18 | 56¢ → 73¢ | $13 | +$3 +30% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?Ends in 22d | No | 20 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $13 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 20 | 55¢ → 63¢ | $13 | +$2 +14% |
| Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 20 | 67¢ → 63¢ | $13 | −$1 −6.7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 41d | No | 20 | 51¢ → 64¢ | $12 | +$2 +25% |
| Clavicular in jail by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 20 | 77¢ → 62¢ | $12 | −$3 −20% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of November 2026?Ends in 41d | No | 20 | 62¢ → 60¢ | $12 | −$0 −3.2% |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 20 | 36¢ → 60¢ | $12 | +$5 +65% |
| Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Ends in 72d | No | 28 | 48¢ → 43¢ | $12 | −$2 −11% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 40 | 66¢ → 30¢ | $12 | −$15 −55% |
| Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 10d | No | 17 | 51¢ → 68¢ | $11 | +$3 +33% |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?Ends in 83d | Yes | 20 | 49¢ → 55¢ | $11 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 254d | Yes | 58 | 23¢ → 19¢ | $11 | −$2 −17% |
| Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?Ends in 73d | No | 20 | 63¢ → 55¢ | $11 | −$2 −13% |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31?Ends in 83d | No | 20 | 71¢ → 55¢ | $11 | −$3 −23% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 42d | No | 12 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $11 | +$1 +8.7% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 42d | Yes | 36 | 39¢ → 31¢ | $11 | −$3 −21% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 6d | Yes | 39 | 51¢ → 28¢ | $11 | −$9 −46% |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 20 | 64¢ → 54¢ | $11 | −$2 −16% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 42d | Yes | 18 | 57¢ → 58¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 12 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.1% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 37d | Yes | 20 | 43¢ → 52¢ | $10 | +$2 +20% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 804d | Yes | 50 | 41¢ → 21¢ | $10 | −$10 −50% |
| Will Cody Johnson win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 30d | Yes | 20 | 54¢ → 51¢ | $10 | −$1 −5.6% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Ends in 10d | Yes | 20 | 57¢ → 51¢ | $10 | −$1 −11% |
| Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40 | 56¢ → 26¢ | $10 | −$12 −54% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 11 | 41¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$6 +132% |
| Will James Redgrave win the next Latrobe mayoral election?Ends in 8d | No | 11 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $10 | +$1 +9.3% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?Ends in 10d | No | 22 | 63¢ → 46¢ | $10 | −$4 −28% |
| Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 20 | 29¢ → 48¢ | $10 | +$4 +66% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Ends in 82d | No | 20 | 59¢ → 48¢ | $10 | −$2 −19% |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Ends in 42d | Yes | 30 | 40¢ → 32¢ | $9 | −$2 −21% |
| Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 2d | Yes | 20 | 59¢ → 47¢ | $9 | −$2 −20% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 28 | 71¢ → 34¢ | $9 | −$11 −53% |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40 | 14¢ → 23¢ | $9 | +$4 +63% |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 28d | No | 20 | 30¢ → 47¢ | $9 | +$3 +55% |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 20 | 47¢ → 47¢ | $9 | −$0 −1.1% |
