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Polymarket wallet 0xa5a95ed605b0c84201b9d4e43e1bc42020ca0c60 · on Polymarket since Mar 21, 2025 · also shown as Innocent-Headlight
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$5 +488% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 57¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +75% |
| Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 78¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +28% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | Yes | 12 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.