| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 47d | Yes | 32,305 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $210 | −$33 −14% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 12d | Yes | 2,000 | 7¢ → 8¢ | $150 | +$10 +7.1% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 69d | No | 905 | 16¢ → 15¢ | $136 | −$9 −6.3% |
| Will Klemen Boštjančič win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Ends in 24d | Yes | 3,114 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $83 | −$33 −29% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 21,414 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $75 | −$19 −21% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 97d | Yes | 5,687 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $65 | +$3 +4.5% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?Ends in 101d | Yes | 200 | 30¢ → 32¢ | $64 | +$4 +6.7% |
| Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Ends in 24d | Yes | 2,844 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $63 | −$19 −23% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 367 | 18¢ → 16¢ | $57 | −$9 −14% |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 483 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $56 | +$3 +6.4% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 97d | Yes | 4,673 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $51 | −$5 −8.3% |
| Will Aleš Vrhovec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Ends in 24d | Yes | 2,265 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $49 | −$31 −39% |
| Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | Yes | 200 | 17¢ → 20¢ | $39 | +$5 +15% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10,386 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $36 | +$5 +17% |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 7,757 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $35 | +$12 +50% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 162 | 19¢ → 22¢ | $35 | +$4 +13% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 983 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $34 | −$5 −14% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,902 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $33 | +$5 +17% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5,023 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $33 | −$17 −34% |
| Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 223 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $27 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 377 | 4¢ → 7¢ | $26 | +$11 +75% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 13d | Yes | 36 | 83¢ → 74¢ | $26 | −$4 −12% |
| Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2,617 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $22 | +$14 +183% |
| Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?Ends in 11d | Rogers | 467 | 14¢ → 4¢ | $19 | −$47 −71% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 469 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $16 | +$2 +13% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 747d | Yes | 1,400 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $15 | +$2 +17% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 3,657 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $15 | +$4 +33% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in October?Ends in 9d | Yes | 9,333 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $14 | −$2 −14% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5,466 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $14 | +$3 +25% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 300 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $13 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 100 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $12 | −$1 −7.7% |
| Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Ends ended | Yes | 4,258 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $11 | +$4 +60% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 7,035 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $11 | −$4 −25% |
| Will Waymo launch in New Orleans, LA by December 31 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 137 | 7¢ → 8¢ | $10 | +$1 +8.8% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 172 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $9 | +$3 +44% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 3,563 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $9 | +$5 +150% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 174 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $9 | +$2 +25% |
| Will Microsoft AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 366 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $9 | +$5 +135% |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,733 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 120 | 10¢ → 6¢ | $7 | −$4 −37% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 7,236 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$2 −23% |
| Will Mihael Jarc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Ends in 24d | Yes | 4,790 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | +$2 +50% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberEnds in 8d | Something | 263 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $7 | −$6 −47% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 21 | 23¢ → 32¢ | $7 | +$2 +37% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 40 | 15¢ → 17¢ | $7 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 100 | 45¢ → 6¢ | $6 | −$39 −86% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 50 | 30¢ → 13¢ | $6 | −$9 −58% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 3,100 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $6 | −$9 −58% |
| Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 400 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $6 | −$18 −74% |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $6 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 747d | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$1 −15% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 70 | 8¢ → 8¢ | $5 | −$0 −3.1% |
| Will Julia Arcelia Olguín Serna win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?Ends in 227d | Yes | 127 | <1¢ → 4¢ | $5 | +$5 +950% |
| Will Gregor Novak win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Ends in 24d | Yes | 3,479 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | +$2 +50% |
| Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 65 | 7¢ → 8¢ | $5 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 3,421 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | +$2 +48% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 150 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Apolonija Simon win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Ends in 24d | Yes | 3,338 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | +$2 +50% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 235 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$8 −61% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 200 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$3 −41% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 371 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $5 | +$0 +12% |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 276 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$7 −61% |
| Will Jasmin Feratović win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Ends in 24d | Yes | 3,021 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | +$2 +50% |
| Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,506 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | +$2 +65% |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 3,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$8 −63% |
| Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Ends in 24d | Yes | 2,909 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | +$1 +50% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 263 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $4 | +$2 +78% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | $0 0.0% |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 7,840 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$4 −50% |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 156 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $4 | −$1 −19% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 300 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $4 | +$2 +63% |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 15 | 10¢ → 25¢ | $4 | +$2 +150% |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?Ends in 47d | Yes | 519 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $4 | −$0 −8.1% |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Ends in 47d | Yes | 540 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $4 | +$2 +147% |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 17¢ | $3 | +$1 +70% |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 13d | Yes | 542 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$7 −67% |
| Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 775 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | +$2 +287% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be less than $0.40 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 860 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | +$1 +60% |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 56d | Yes | 426 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $3 | +$2 +133% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 167 | <1¢ → 2¢ | $3 | +$2 +467% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 256 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$3 −54% |
| Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 40 | 17¢ → 7¢ | $3 | −$4 −59% |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 800 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$1 −30% |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?Ends in 208d | Yes | 25 | 12¢ → 11¢ | $3 | −$0 −8.3% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Ends in 3d | Yes | 600 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$1 −25% |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 5,280 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$8 −76% |
| Will Donald Trump be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | Yes | 20 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $3 | +$0 +8.3% |
| Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?Ends in 190d | Yes | 167 | <1¢ → 2¢ | $3 | +$2 +241% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 747d | Yes | 5,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$3 −50% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 747d | Yes | 4,800 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$3 −57% |
| Will Ramon Vega be the next President of FIFA?Ends in 147d | Yes | 47 | 1¢ → 5¢ | $2 | +$2 +380% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Ends in 82d | Yes | 449 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$1 −29% |
| Will Chang Sheng-te win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 224 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $2 | +$2 +233% |
| Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,451 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | +$1 +45% |
| Will Alibaba (including Alibaba-ATH) have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 54 | <1¢ → 4¢ | $2 | +$2 +1201% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 245 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $2 | +$0 +6.2% |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 14 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $2 | +$0 +12% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 1,300 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$3 −57% |
| Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 5 | 21¢ → 38¢ | $2 | +$1 +87% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 27 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $2 | +$1 +41% |
