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Polymarket wallet 0xd85fa4a5b4f87a4098e88a1a17694f7d1930ff1d · on Polymarket since Oct 7, 2025 · also shown as Anguished-Vellum
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 89¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$1 +12% |
| Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 62¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$2 +61% |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.8% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will Guinea win on 2025-10-09?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Spread: Missouri State (-2.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Missouri State | 6 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.