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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Ends in 433d | Yes | 1,354 | 7¢ → 8¢ | $102 | +$2 +2.2% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Ends in 432d | Yes | 1,089 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $31 | −$79 −72% |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 263 | 19¢ → 4¢ | $12 | −$38 −77% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Ends in 432d | Yes | 201 | 15¢ → 5¢ | $10 | −$20 −67% |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 556 | 9¢ → 2¢ | $9 | −$41 −82% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 125 | 20¢ → 4¢ | $5 | −$20 −82% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 357 | 14¢ → 1¢ | $4 | −$46 −93% |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 943 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$48 −96% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 33 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.