| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 250 | 50¢ → 90¢ | $224 | +$99 +79% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 70 | 81¢ → 85¢ | $59 | +$2 +4.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 54 | 39¢ → 66¢ | $36 | +$15 +69% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 40 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $33 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 250 | 50¢ → 11¢ | $26 | −$99 −79% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 30 | 77¢ → 84¢ | $25 | +$2 +7.7% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 25 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $23 | +$2 +9.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 30 | 76¢ → 75¢ | $23 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 79¢ → 84¢ | $17 | +$1 +6.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 18 | 68¢ → 93¢ | $17 | +$5 +37% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 5d | Yes | 20 | 74¢ → 82¢ | $16 | +$2 +11% |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 25 | 77¢ → 65¢ | $16 | −$3 −16% |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Ends in 68d | Yes | 49 | 21¢ → 31¢ | $15 | +$4 +42% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 76¢ → 72¢ | $14 | −$1 −5.9% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 7d | No | 15 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $14 | +$1 +9.0% |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 15 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $14 | +$1 +7.0% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 47¢ → 67¢ | $13 | +$4 +44% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $12 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 12 | 61¢ → 94¢ | $12 | +$4 +54% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 75¢ → 69¢ | $10 | −$1 −8.0% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 65¢ → 69¢ | $10 | +$1 +5.6% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 72¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$3 +35% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 79¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$2 +23% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$2 +19% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 63¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$3 +53% |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$1 +11% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$1 +9.8% |
| Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 10 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 79¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$1 +18% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 71¢ → 62¢ | $9 | −$1 −13% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$1 +6.5% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$1 +5.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 15 | 70¢ → 59¢ | $9 | −$2 −16% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Ends in 16d | Yes | 15 | 63¢ → 58¢ | $9 | −$1 −8.4% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 70¢ → 86¢ | $9 | +$2 +23% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 70¢ → 83¢ | $8 | +$1 +19% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 73¢ → 82¢ | $8 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 79¢ | $8 | −$0 −5.4% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 79¢ | $8 | +$0 +6.8% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$1 +9.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 15 | 65¢ → 49¢ | $7 | −$2 −25% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 72¢ | $7 | −$0 −5.3% |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 30 | 20¢ → 19¢ | $6 | −$0 −7.5% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 10 | 59¢ → 53¢ | $5 | −$1 −11% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +11% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$1 +15% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 74¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$1 +30% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$1 +22% |
| US announces military base in Israel in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 79¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$1 +21% |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$1 +16% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 77¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$1 +21% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 5 | 74¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$1 +26% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 40 | 19¢ → 12¢ | $5 | −$3 −41% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 74¢ → 89¢ | $4 | +$1 +20% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 5 | 47¢ → 85¢ | $4 | +$2 +80% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 71¢ → 84¢ | $4 | +$1 +18% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 74¢ → 83¢ | $4 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Iran target Kuwait by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 64¢ → 81¢ | $4 | +$1 +27% |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 30¢ → 20¢ | $4 | −$2 −33% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 20 | 28¢ → 12¢ | $2 | −$3 −60% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 22¢ → 12¢ | $2 | −$2 −48% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 28¢ → 9¢ | $2 | −$4 −68% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 40¢ → 35¢ | $2 | −$0 −14% |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 30 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$0 −25% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 15 | 10¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$1 −42% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 25¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$1 −42% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 13¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$2 −78% |
| Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 15 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.7% |
| Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 15 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −32% |
| Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 15 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −39% |
| Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 15 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −44% |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
