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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 11% | — | — | 10¢ · 11¢ (1¢) | — | in 434d |
| December 31, 2029 | 28% | +2 pts | +2 pts | 27¢ · 30¢ (3¢) | — | in 1165d |
| December 31, 2028 | 21% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 20¢ · 21¢ (1¢) | — | in 800d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d |  Car | December 31, 2029 | BuyNo69¢ → 72¢ | $1,146 | +$44 +3.9% | 20 |
| 3d | Car | December 31, 2027 | SellNo89¢ → 90¢ | $5,830 | −$33 −0.6% | — |
| 4d |  MisTKy | December 31, 2029 | SellYes26¢ → 28¢ | $2,298 | −$221 −9.6% | — |
| 10d |  GollumGekko | December 31, 2027 | SellNo89¢ → 90¢ | $5,270 | −$30 −0.6% | — |
| 10d | MisTKy | December 31, 2029 | BuyYes26¢ → 28¢ | $3,113 | +$299 +9.6% | 25 |
| 11d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | December 31, 2028 | SellNo80¢ | $1,037 | +$6 +0.6% | — |
| 20d |  slowdance | December 31, 2027 | SellYes12¢ → 11¢ | $8,737 | +$904 +10% | — |
| 20d |  bigdihhh888 | December 31, 2027 | BuyNo89¢ → 90¢ | $1,092 | +$6 +0.6% | 20 |
| 21d |  Lolakis | December 31, 2027 | BuyNo83¢ → 90¢ | $5,960 | +$481 +8.1% | 20 |
| 21d | slowdance | December 31, 2027 | BuyYes11¢ | $8,000 | −$167 −2.1% | 36 |
| 35d | AiBird | December 31, 2027 | SellNo91¢ → 90¢ | $1,092 | +$18 +1.6% | — |
| 35d | AiBird | December 31, 2029 | SellYes23¢ → 28¢ | $1,113 | −$266 −24% | — |
| 36d | AiBird | December 31, 2029 | BuyYes20¢ → 28¢ | $1,050 | +$446 +42% | 20 |
0xwordjnn3,319 shares
Digital-Boy800 shares
0xdc3E831cad747 shares
Debosnys600 shares
Mithrandir.400 shares
pjotrekkk400 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if NuScale announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents NuScale. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 11¢ for December 31, 2027 means the market gives it about 11%.