| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5,733 | 74¢ → 35¢ | $2,001 | −$2,233 −53% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 1,200 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $1,134 | +$113 +11% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,333 | 31¢ → 45¢ | $1,050 | +$318 +43% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,200 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $990 | −$4 −0.5% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,041 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $859 | +$36 +4.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 900 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $842 | +$40 +4.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 889 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $742 | +$21 +2.8% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 900 | 87¢ → 81¢ | $725 | −$59 −7.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 700 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $641 | +$9 +1.3% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 972 | 68¢ → 64¢ | $623 | −$40 −6.1% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 63¢ → 60¢ | $595 | −$37 −5.9% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 600 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $588 | +$30 +5.4% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 645 | 74¢ → 91¢ | $583 | +$109 +23% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 600 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $579 | +$19 +3.3% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 600 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $573 | −$4 −0.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 600 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $567 | +$36 +6.8% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 710 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $543 | +$3 +0.5% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 600 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $543 | −$21 −3.7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 1d | Yes | 600 | 92¢ → 89¢ | $531 | −$19 −3.5% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 600 | 76¢ → 87¢ | $519 | +$61 +13% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,150 | 33¢ → 45¢ | $517 | +$143 +38% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 1,250 | 54¢ → 39¢ | $481 | −$195 −29% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 600 | 80¢ → 76¢ | $453 | −$29 −6.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,901 | 46¢ → 12¢ | $449 | −$1,365 −75% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,174 | 33¢ → 38¢ | $440 | +$51 +13% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 5d | Yes | 548 | 84¢ → 80¢ | $436 | −$23 −5.1% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 438 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $421 | +$3 +0.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 660 | 84¢ → 63¢ | $413 | −$140 −25% |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 506 | 69¢ → 81¢ | $410 | +$60 +17% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 400 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $399 | +$33 +8.9% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $391 | +$16 +4.3% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $391 | +$5 +1.2% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $386 | +$16 +4.2% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $382 | +$18 +4.9% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 400 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $370 | +$16 +4.5% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 77¢ → 92¢ | $366 | +$59 +19% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $366 | +$20 +5.8% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 400 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $358 | −$2 −0.6% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 500 | 71¢ → 71¢ | $353 | −$5 −1.3% |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 400 | 91¢ → 88¢ | $350 | −$12 −3.3% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 402 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $340 | −$4 −1.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 589 | 71¢ → 56¢ | $333 | −$85 −20% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 416 | 73¢ → 80¢ | $331 | +$29 +9.6% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 409 | 69¢ → 80¢ | $327 | +$45 +16% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 544 | 67¢ → 56¢ | $307 | −$60 −16% |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 500 | 41¢ → 61¢ | $303 | +$98 +48% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $299 | +$10 +3.4% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 643 | 60¢ → 47¢ | $299 | −$90 −23% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 300 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $299 | +$11 +3.6% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 400 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $294 | −$8 −2.6% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $293 | +$8 +3.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 400 | 67¢ → 73¢ | $290 | +$22 +8.2% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 1,135 | 29¢ → 26¢ | $289 | −$40 −12% |
| Ventuals FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 290 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $287 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 743 | 48¢ → 38¢ | $279 | −$77 −22% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $277 | +$3 +1.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 300 | 68¢ → 92¢ | $275 | +$70 +34% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $273 | +$38 +16% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,000 | 9¢ → 14¢ | $270 | +$100 +59% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 159d | No | 300 | 84¢ → 88¢ | $264 | +$12 +4.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 400 | 70¢ → 66¢ | $264 | −$14 −5.0% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 270 | 81¢ → 95¢ | $256 | +$36 +16% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 260 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $254 | +$18 +7.6% |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 270 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $253 | +$17 +7.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,974 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $247 | +$3 +1.1% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | No | 250 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $244 | +$27 +13% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 240 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $234 | +$12 +5.3% |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 250 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $231 | +$7 +3.0% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 237 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $231 | +$8 +3.6% |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 89d | Yes | 260 | 75¢ → 85¢ | $221 | +$25 +13% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 281d | No | 240 | 64¢ → 92¢ | $220 | +$67 +44% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 300 | 69¢ → 72¢ | $215 | +$8 +3.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 600 | 41¢ → 35¢ | $210 | −$34 −14% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 250 | 76¢ → 84¢ | $210 | +$20 +10% |
| Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 500 | 64¢ → 42¢ | $210 | −$112 −35% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 270 | 68¢ → 78¢ | $209 | +$27 +15% |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 200 | 91¢ → >99¢ | $200 | +$18 +10% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 300 | 64¢ → 67¢ | $200 | +$8 +3.9% |
| Will "Klara and the Sun" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 2d | No | 200 | 75¢ → 98¢ | $196 | +$46 +31% |
| Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $195 | −$2 −1.1% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$34 +22% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$16 +9.2% |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$6 +3.2% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$4 +2.1% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $193 | +$28 +17% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 200 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $193 | +$31 +19% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $193 | +$8 +4.3% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $192 | +$24 +15% |
| Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $191 | +$18 +11% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $191 | +$11 +6.2% |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $191 | +$7 +3.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $191 | +$19 +11% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | No | 220 | 74¢ → 87¢ | $190 | +$27 +16% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 159d | No | 200 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $190 | +$8 +4.4% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $189 | +$23 +14% |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 287 | 73¢ → 65¢ | $187 | −$22 −11% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 200 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $186 | +$16 +9.4% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 200 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $185 | +$23 +14% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 74¢ → 93¢ | $185 | +$37 +25% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 200 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $185 | +$19 +11% |
