| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | Yes | 984 | 15¢ → 80¢ | $782 | +$631 +417% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 594 | 15¢ → 88¢ | $522 | +$434 +496% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 257 | 31¢ → 97¢ | $250 | +$169 +209% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 211 | 51¢ → 99¢ | $209 | +$102 +96% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 69d | No | 187 | 36¢ → 85¢ | $158 | +$91 +134% |
| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 159d | Yes | 151 | 42¢ → 91¢ | $137 | +$74 +118% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 194 | 52¢ → 66¢ | $128 | +$27 +27% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 124 | 57¢ → >99¢ | $124 | +$53 +75% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 128d | No | 126 | 72¢ → 88¢ | $110 | +$20 +22% |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 102 | 22¢ → 96¢ | $97 | +$75 +336% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 98 | 78¢ → 94¢ | $91 | +$15 +20% |
| Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 94 | 78¢ → 89¢ | $83 | +$10 +13% |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 85 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $83 | +$8 +11% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 83 | 75¢ → 99¢ | $83 | +$20 +32% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 39d | Yes | 170 | 27¢ → 44¢ | $74 | +$28 +61% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 84 | 29¢ → 86¢ | $71 | +$47 +195% |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 77 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $71 | +$5 +7.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 83 | 75¢ → 79¢ | $66 | +$3 +5.4% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 608 | 38¢ → 11¢ | $64 | −$167 −72% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 81¢ → 64¢ | $64 | −$18 −22% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 74 | 78¢ → 85¢ | $63 | +$5 +8.7% |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $303,000 and $308,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 65 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $61 | +$6 +11% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 71 | 33¢ → 85¢ | $61 | +$37 +155% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 69 | 70¢ → 87¢ | $60 | +$12 +24% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 54 | 54¢ → 98¢ | $53 | +$24 +82% |
| Will Claude Opus's output price be at or below $10 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 62 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $53 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 104 | 56¢ → 50¢ | $52 | −$7 −12% |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 250d | No | 73 | 45¢ → 64¢ | $47 | +$14 +42% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 59 | 62¢ → 79¢ | $46 | +$10 +26% |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man?Ends in 250d | No | 79 | 58¢ → 56¢ | $44 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 43 | 37¢ → 92¢ | $39 | +$23 +145% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 43 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $39 | +$3 +7.8% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 119 | 34¢ → 31¢ | $37 | −$3 −8.2% |
| Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?Ends in 76d | No | 41 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $37 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 41 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $36 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will ChatGPT Dots be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 38 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $36 | +$4 +12% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 42 | 70¢ → 84¢ | $35 | +$6 +19% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 36 | 46¢ → 93¢ | $34 | +$17 +103% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 48 | 84¢ → 69¢ | $33 | −$7 −17% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 46 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $33 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 59 | 52¢ → 55¢ | $32 | +$2 +5.8% |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Ends in 159d | Yes | 42 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $32 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 137 | 55¢ → 23¢ | $31 | −$45 −59% |
| Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 267 | 15¢ → 12¢ | $31 | −$9 −23% |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 39 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $28 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 42 | 85¢ → 67¢ | $28 | −$7 −21% |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 31 | 65¢ → 89¢ | $27 | +$7 +36% |
| Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 28 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $27 | +$2 +8.7% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 36 | 56¢ → 71¢ | $25 | +$5 +27% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 86 | 21¢ → 27¢ | $23 | +$5 +31% |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 36 | 7¢ → 61¢ | $22 | +$19 +821% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 24 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $21 | +$1 +6.6% |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?Ends in 39d | No | 26 | 54¢ → 80¢ | $20 | +$7 +49% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 21 | 51¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$10 +91% |
| Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?Ends in 250d | No | 22 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 53 | 79¢ → 34¢ | $18 | −$24 −57% |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 18 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $18 | +$2 +10% |
| Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 19 | 40¢ → 89¢ | $17 | +$9 +120% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 62 | 12¢ → 26¢ | $16 | +$9 +127% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 258 | 13¢ → 6¢ | $16 | −$17 −52% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 60 | 27¢ → 27¢ | $16 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 23 | 18¢ → 65¢ | $15 | +$11 +261% |
| Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 5% to 19.99%?Ends in 189d | Yes | 55 | 26¢ → 28¢ | $15 | +$1 +5.8% |
| Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 16 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $15 | +$1 +5.2% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 32 | 41¢ → 46¢ | $14 | +$2 +12% |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 40 | 49¢ → 35¢ | $14 | −$6 −30% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended | Yes | 64 | 49¢ → 22¢ | $14 | −$18 −56% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 15 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $14 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 22 | 72¢ → 61¢ | $13 | −$2 −15% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 31 | 7¢ → 41¢ | $12 | +$10 +479% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 82¢ → 78¢ | $12 | −$1 −4.9% |
| Benedict Wong as Wong?Ends in 250d | No | 49 | 39¢ → 22¢ | $11 | −$8 −44% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 68 | 3¢ → 15¢ | $10 | +$8 +405% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 23 | 33¢ → 44¢ | $10 | +$2 +31% |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?Ends in 8d | No | 12 | 62¢ → 80¢ | $10 | +$2 +28% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 26 | 19¢ → 37¢ | $10 | +$5 +95% |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 14 | 73¢ → 68¢ | $10 | −$1 −6.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Ends ended | No | 12 | 61¢ → 79¢ | $9 | +$2 +30% |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 53 | 19¢ → 17¢ | $9 | −$1 −11% |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 26 | 43¢ → 34¢ | $9 | −$2 −22% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 13 | 83¢ → 68¢ | $8 | −$2 −19% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 13 | 60¢ → 66¢ | $8 | +$1 +10% |
| Will GPT Sol's output price be at or below $5 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 80¢ → 60¢ | $8 | −$3 −26% |
| Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 8 | 66¢ → 93¢ | $8 | +$2 +41% |
| Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft?Ends in 70d | Yes | 238 | 54¢ → 3¢ | $8 | −$121 −94% |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,165,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 8 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $7 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 28 | 42¢ → 25¢ | $7 | −$5 −42% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 75 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $6 | −$0 −4.0% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 71¢ → 60¢ | $6 | −$1 −16% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.25 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 7 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $6 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 7 | 52¢ → 92¢ | $6 | +$3 +76% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 10 | 69¢ → 61¢ | $6 | −$1 −12% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 7 | 60¢ → 92¢ | $6 | +$2 +53% |
| Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 17 | 43¢ → 36¢ | $6 | −$1 −17% |
| Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 65 | 16¢ → 9¢ | $6 | −$4 −41% |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 210 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $6 | −$0 −3.4% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 6 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $6 | +$0 +4.9% |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be less than $303,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 6 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $6 | +$0 +8.1% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 327 | 47¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$147 −96% |
