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Polymarket wallet 0x1d8f592616531b95f8784953f222c3df5b1b09e9 · on Polymarket since Mar 23, 2022 · also shown as Sad-Force
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 500 | 90¢ → 42¢ | $212 | −$240 −53% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$2 +2.6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,506 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 31 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.