| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 600 | 15¢ → 89¢ | $531 | +$440 +486% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 68¢ → 95¢ | $189 | +$53 +39% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 10¢ → 20¢ | $78 | +$38 +95% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 75 | 70¢ → 81¢ | $61 | +$8 +16% |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 33 | 82¢ → 93¢ | $30 | +$3 +13% |
| Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$3 +18% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 30¢ → 9¢ | $17 | −$43 −72% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$81 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$84 −100% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Powell say "Rate cut" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 75-76°F on August 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 130 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$76 −100% |
| Will anyone say "It's a good model" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Grok 4.4 released by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,140 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$653 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 195–209 times?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| GPT transaction fees by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Kyiv" during conference with Putin on August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,874 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 860 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$715 −100% |
| GPT ads by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$66 −100% |
| Will Dillinger win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Joe's Giggle win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Redwood Shadow win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Hungary?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,962 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Acclimatise win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Ready Tiger win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Kipling's Journey win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$92 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$305 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on August 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Fortified win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Smart Legend win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Claude 4.8 released by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 684 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 227 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$123 −100% |
| Will Alcyone win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Trump x Zelenskyy meet on Monday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 345 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 231 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$172 −100% |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,091 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Claude go down 3-5 times in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Andalus win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Mr Maestro win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Prize" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 392 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$191 −100% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 68 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 283 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$76 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 537 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,511 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,011 −100% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,171 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 288 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$116 −100% |
| Will Tambo's Justice win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 632 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$163 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 308 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$234 −100% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,511 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$142 −100% |
| Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 663 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or UAE?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,871 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 85-86°F on August 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$68 −100% |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 319 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$173 −100% |
| Will Beau Rain win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| 2025 August second hottest on record?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,555 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election?Settled - ready to redeem | Blue | 340 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$167 −100% |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 154 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$108 −100% |
| Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will Solar Apex win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Rogue Bear win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on August 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 253 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Read 'Em And Weep win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$132 −100% |
| Will Sir Grace win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 170 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$78 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Rare Earth" during conference with Putin on August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
