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Polymarket wallet 0x3a8ad4c5151fb8cf8424f713529a1d4255890ffe · on Polymarket since Oct 20, 2024 · also shown as Warm-Dirndl
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 232 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$151 −100% |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 222 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Will NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 76 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement ReferendumSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Ukraine join NATO before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo play in FIFA Club World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 85 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| DeepSeek banned in US before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.