| Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 369 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $281 | −$5 −1.7% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 46d | No | 1,103 | 14¢ → 25¢ | $276 | +$116 +72% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | Yes | 11,515 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $173 | +$23 +15% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 200 | 67¢ → 75¢ | $150 | +$16 +12% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 45d | Yes | 696 | 18¢ → 21¢ | $143 | +$16 +12% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 6h | Yes | 200 | 66¢ → 69¢ | $139 | +$7 +5.2% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 156 | 66¢ → 89¢ | $138 | +$36 +35% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on October 25?Ends in 6h | No | 159 | 67¢ → 64¢ | $102 | −$5 −4.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 24?Ends ended | Yes | 100 | 68¢ → 100¢ | $100 | +$32 +47% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 102 | 66¢ → 79¢ | $80 | +$13 +19% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 120 | 49¢ → 66¢ | $80 | +$22 +37% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 6d | No | 80 | 69¢ → 95¢ | $76 | +$21 +38% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 6d | No | 109 | 46¢ → 66¢ | $72 | +$21 +42% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 36d | No | 150 | 44¢ → 47¢ | $71 | +$5 +6.8% |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Ends in 67d | Yes | 200 | 30¢ → 33¢ | $65 | +$5 +8.3% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 100 | 59¢ → 60¢ | $60 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 86 | 58¢ → 67¢ | $58 | +$8 +16% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 54 | 41¢ → 97¢ | $52 | +$30 +137% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 147 | 27¢ → 32¢ | $46 | +$7 +18% |
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?Ends in 7d | Yes | 144 | 36¢ → 31¢ | $44 | −$7 −14% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 200 | 20¢ → 22¢ | $43 | +$3 +7.5% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 100 | 45¢ → 36¢ | $36 | −$9 −20% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 6h | Yes | 50 | 67¢ → 71¢ | $35 | +$2 +5.2% |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 30 | 79¢ → 85¢ | $26 | +$2 +7.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 25?Ends in 6h | Yes | 120 | 20¢ → 21¢ | $25 | +$1 +2.5% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 40 | 69¢ → 58¢ | $23 | −$5 −16% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 45¢ → 79¢ | $16 | +$7 +76% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 20 | 24¢ → 12¢ | $2 | −$3 −52% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 45d | Yes | 100 | 9¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$8 −87% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 87 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 22 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 31 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 202 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 69 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang LionsSettled - ready to redeem | Zhejiang Lions | 65 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 19 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 240 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 37 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 147 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 850 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$137 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 263 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$202 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 223 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$185 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 450 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on August 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 297 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$98 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 139 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$89 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 163 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 129 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$97 −100% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 215 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$141 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 408 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 52 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will XRP reach $1.60 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 440 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 173 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 445 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$195 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 102 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 38 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 81 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 120 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on April 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,222 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$171 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 77 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 82 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 438 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 38 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 31 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 430 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 47 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on August 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 180 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$119 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 310 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 106 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$63 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern TigersSettled - ready to redeem | Guangdong Southern Tigers | 440 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
