| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 145 | 69¢ → 90¢ | $130 | +$30 +30% |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Ends in 70d | Yes | 68 | 74¢ → 74¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 25 | 12¢ → 83¢ | $21 | +$18 +617% |
| Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 31 | 16¢ → 65¢ | $20 | +$15 +306% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 152 | 23¢ → 11¢ | $17 | −$18 −51% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 17 | 30¢ → 97¢ | $16 | +$11 +224% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 15 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $15 | +$1 +6.4% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 16 | 44¢ → 93¢ | $15 | +$8 +112% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 15 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $15 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 70d | No | 15 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $14 | +$1 +6.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 15 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $13 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 14 | 36¢ → 92¢ | $13 | +$8 +156% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 17 | 59¢ → 73¢ | $12 | +$2 +23% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 16 | 37¢ → 78¢ | $12 | +$6 +109% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 18 | 55¢ → 66¢ | $12 | +$2 +20% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 15 | 67¢ → 78¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 14 | 71¢ → 84¢ | $12 | +$2 +18% |
| Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 4d | Yes | 17 | 59¢ → 69¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 15 | 71¢ → 74¢ | $11 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 12d | No | 16 | 64¢ → 69¢ | $11 | +$1 +7.0% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 11 | 46¢ → 98¢ | $11 | +$6 +112% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 12d | Yes | 16 | 64¢ → 68¢ | $11 | +$1 +5.5% |
| Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $33.5B?Ends in 32d | Yes | 11 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $11 | +$1 +5.1% |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 42 | 12¢ → 25¢ | $10 | +$5 +108% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 15 | 65¢ → 67¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 5d | Yes | 15 | 68¢ → 70¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 14 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 14 | 73¢ → 75¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 14 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 17 | 58¢ → 58¢ | $10 | $0 0.0% |
| Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by January 31, 2027?Ends in 101d | No | 30 | 33¢ → 33¢ | $10 | $0 0.0% |
| Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?Ends in 251d | Yes | 15 | 68¢ → 68¢ | $10 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 10 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 28 | 36¢ → 36¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 5d | No | 14 | 72¢ → 71¢ | $10 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 11 | 45¢ → 89¢ | $10 | +$5 +99% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 160d | No | 10 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.70 and $0.75 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 90 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $10 | −$0 −3.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 12 | 85¢ → 82¢ | $10 | −$0 −4.1% |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 28 | 18¢ → 35¢ | $10 | +$5 +92% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 37 | 14¢ → 26¢ | $10 | +$5 +90% |
| Will there be no next GPT Terra model (5.7+) release by December 27, 2026?Ends in 66d | Yes | 59 | 17¢ → 16¢ | $9 | −$1 −8.8% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 15 | 66¢ → 60¢ | $9 | −$1 −9.1% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 10 | 68¢ → 88¢ | $9 | +$2 +29% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 40d | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 44¢ | $9 | +$4 +74% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 130d | Yes | 10 | 29¢ → 84¢ | $9 | +$6 +188% |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 20 | 49¢ → 42¢ | $9 | −$1 −14% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 10 | 55¢ → 85¢ | $8 | +$3 +54% |
| Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 5% to 19.99%?Ends in 190d | Yes | 35 | 24¢ → 24¢ | $8 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | No | 8 | 61¢ → >99¢ | $8 | +$3 +64% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 11 | 45¢ → 72¢ | $8 | +$3 +59% |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | Yes | 18 | 56¢ → 44¢ | $8 | −$2 −22% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 10 | 51¢ → 79¢ | $8 | +$3 +54% |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?Ends in 9d | No | 9 | 57¢ → 79¢ | $7 | +$2 +39% |
| Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 21 | 27¢ → 33¢ | $7 | +$1 +22% |
| Will ExxonMobil (XOM) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.5M?Ends in 7d | No | 20 | 45¢ → 33¢ | $7 | −$2 −27% |
| Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 9 | 57¢ → 76¢ | $7 | +$2 +32% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 24 | 21¢ → 28¢ | $7 | +$2 +31% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 16 | 48¢ → 41¢ | $6 | −$1 −16% |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 18 | 29¢ → 35¢ | $6 | +$1 +19% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 10 | 51¢ → 60¢ | $6 | +$1 +16% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 30¢ | $6 | +$1 +20% |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 7 | 77¢ → 92¢ | $6 | +$1 +19% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 57¢ | $6 | −$0 −5.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 10 | 62¢ → 57¢ | $6 | −$0 −6.7% |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be less than $303,000 on December 31?Ends in 80d | No | 6 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $6 | +$1 +17% |
| Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 6 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $6 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 7 | 68¢ → 80¢ | $6 | +$1 +17% |
| Will Claude Opus's output price be at or below $10 in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 7 | 77¢ → 85¢ | $6 | +$1 +10% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 6 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.7% |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 20 | 22¢ → 27¢ | $5 | +$1 +20% |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 20 | 23¢ → 26¢ | $5 | +$1 +16% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 6 | 22¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$4 +316% |
| Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 6 | 13¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$4 +612% |
| Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 9d | No | 5 | 83¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$1 +19% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 5 | 54¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$2 +76% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 11 | 46¢ → 46¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?Ends in 80d | Yes | 29 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $5 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.4% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 5 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 5 | 72¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$1 +31% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 20 | 9¢ → 23¢ | $5 | +$3 +154% |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 5 | 79¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$1 +16% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 5 | 56¢ → 87¢ | $5 | +$2 +55% |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 6 | 49¢ → 81¢ | $5 | +$2 +65% |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man?Ends in 251d | Yes | 10 | 49¢ → 44¢ | $4 | −$1 −11% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $503,000 and $507,000 on December 31?Ends in 80d | Yes | 53 | 19¢ → 8¢ | $4 | −$6 −56% |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 6 | 37¢ → 77¢ | $4 | +$2 +107% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 5 | 93¢ → 85¢ | $4 | −$0 −9.1% |
| Will GPT Sol's output price be at or below $5 in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 7 | 73¢ → 61¢ | $4 | −$1 −16% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 19 | 54¢ → 22¢ | $4 | −$6 −59% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 23 | 22¢ → 17¢ | $4 | −$1 −23% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 5 | 70¢ → 74¢ | $4 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 5 | 47¢ → 68¢ | $4 | +$1 +44% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Ends in 4d | Yes | 8 | 13¢ → 45¢ | $4 | +$3 +252% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 20 | 15¢ → 17¢ | $3 | +$0 +13% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 250 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$2 −33% |
