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Polymarket wallet 0x54e891b9a1a79eaaf7b3e8cc74364821f18a0fe0 · on Polymarket since Jun 10, 2024 · also shown as Simple-Thief
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 15 | 65¢ → >99¢ | $15 | +$5 +53% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 16 | 64¢ → 94¢ | $15 | +$5 +46% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 13 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 23 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 444 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.