Eyebrows

Polymarket wallet 0x63f1557aa24e04afe36b2f36a3e4c2eeb8526272 · on Polymarket since Aug 8, 2024 · also shown as Giving-Relay

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Positions now worth: $463
All-time profit: −$10.4K
Volume traded: $2.55M
All-time rank: #3,201,799
Markets traded: 2,128
Recent hit rate: 66%33 of last 50 closed

Open positions

58 markets · $463

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d	Yes	125	88¢ → 92¢	$114	+$4 +4.0%
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d	No	125	87¢ → 86¢	$108	−$1 −1.4%
Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 68d	Yes	2,500	16¢ → 4¢	$106	−$286 −73%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 68d	No	50	56¢ → 89¢	$44	+$16 +58%
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d	Yes	50	55¢ → 67¢	$34	+$6 +22%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Ends in 9d	Yes	50	58¢ → 47¢	$24	−$6 −19%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?Ends in 10d	Yes	25	36¢ → 34¢	$9	−$1 −5.6%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 68d	Yes	215	15¢ → 3¢	$6	−$25 −81%
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d	Yes	100	18¢ → 5¢	$5	−$13 −74%
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d	Yes	200	12¢ → 2¢	$4	−$20 −83%
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Ends in 68d	Yes	150	8¢ → 3¢	$4	−$8 −67%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d	Yes	50	6¢ → 6¢	$3	−$0 −8.3%
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d	Yes	150	6¢ → 2¢	$2	−$7 −73%
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?Ends in 99d	Yes	21	3¢ → 2¢	$0	−$0 −19%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 68d	Yes	5	45¢ → 9¢	$0	−$2 −81%
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d	Yes	20	7¢ → 1¢	$0	−$1 −91%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	3,000	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$282 −100%
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	No	166	19¢ → 0¢	$0	−$32 −100%
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	No	200	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$119 −100%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?Settled - ready to redeem	No	950	17¢ → 0¢	$0	−$158 −100%
Epstein client list released by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	350	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$45 −100%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?Settled - ready to redeem	No	2,900	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Netanyahu out by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	301	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Settled - ready to redeem	No	1,000	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	747	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$43 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,964	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem	No	55	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$26 −100%
Trump out as President by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	3,000	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$61 −100%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	200	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,000	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$37 −100%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	No	36	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Settled - ready to redeem	No	100	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,500	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?Settled - ready to redeem	No	574	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$196 −100%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,500	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$13 −100%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Settled - ready to redeem	No	300	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$113 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	3,662	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	250	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	400	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$183 −100%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	500	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	375	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$36 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	455	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$210 −100%
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	No	133	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$34 −100%
Netanyahu out by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	500	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,250	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$18 −100%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	500	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	250	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	150	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	225	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1,000	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	200	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	100	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	551	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	120	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1,000	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$285 −100%
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	100	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$31 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	No	10	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$0 −100%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	77	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
6d	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BuyYes6¢	$3
6d	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SellNo94¢	$9
7d	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	BuyYes88¢	$110
8d	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	BuyNo87¢	$52
9d	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	BuyNo87¢	$1
9d	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?	BuyYes36¢	$5
9d	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?	BuyYes36¢	$4
9d	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	BuyNo87¢	$35
9d	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	BuyYes58¢	$29
9d	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	BuyNo88¢	$22
9d	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	BuyYes55¢	$28
28d	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	BuyNo11¢	$11
32d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	SellNo29¢	$28
33d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	BuyNo36¢	$15
33d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	BuyNo36¢	$21
68d	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SellYes8¢	$200
68d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	BuyNo56¢	$28
80d	Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	SellNo>99¢	$37
82d	Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	BuyYes8¢	$12
86d	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes8¢	$120
88d	Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	SellNo95¢	$107
90d	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes9¢	$23
91d	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	SellYes37¢	$145
92d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?	SellNo24¢	$9
92d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?	SellNo24¢	$1
92d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?	BuyNo11¢	$5
93d	Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	BuyNo88¢	$132
93d	Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	BuyNo97¢	$141
94d	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes9¢	$23
95d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?	BuyNo99¢	$183
95d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?	BuyNo99¢	$15
96d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?	BuyNo98¢	$93
96d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?	BuyNo98¢	$5
96d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	BuyYes87¢	$219
96d	Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	SellArgentina40¢	$39
97d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	SellNo17¢	$24
97d	Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	BuyArgentina41¢	$42
97d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	BuyNo14¢	$20
97d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	BuyNo14¢	$1
101d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	SellYes8¢	$8
101d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	SellYes8¢	$19
101d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	SellYes8¢	$7
102d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	SellYes14¢	$41
105d	Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	SellYes13¢	$130
105d	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SellYes9¢	$0
105d	Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	BuyYes11¢	$108
105d	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SellYes9¢	$94
105d	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SellYes9¢	$10
105d	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SellYes9¢	$100
105d	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SellYes9¢	$0
105d	Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	BuyYes11¢	$2
105d	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SellYes9¢	$1
106d	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SellYes9¢	$1
106d	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SellYes9¢	$5
106d	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SellYes9¢	$5
106d	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SellYes9¢	$4
106d	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SellYes9¢	$50
106d	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SellYes9¢	$90
106d	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SellYes9¢	$1
106d	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SellYes9¢	$1

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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