| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 11d | Yes | 600 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $556 | +$31 +5.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 600 | 75¢ → 80¢ | $477 | +$25 +5.6% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 401 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $375 | +$4 +1.2% |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 378 | 65¢ → 97¢ | $369 | +$124 +50% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 470 | 50¢ → 65¢ | $303 | +$67 +28% |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | Yes | 313 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $297 | +$15 +5.2% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 320 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $260 | +$6 +2.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 319 | 55¢ → 81¢ | $257 | +$82 +47% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 332 | 53¢ → 70¢ | $231 | +$55 +31% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?Ends in 11d | No | 241 | 97¢ → 95¢ | $228 | −$5 −2.1% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 320 | 59¢ → 65¢ | $208 | +$21 +11% |
| Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 240 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $198 | −$8 −3.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 308 | 56¢ → 64¢ | $196 | +$25 +14% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 188 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $186 | +$20 +12% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 227 | 68¢ → 69¢ | $157 | +$3 +1.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 212 | 60¢ → 72¢ | $152 | +$25 +20% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 2d | No | 222 | 61¢ → 65¢ | $144 | +$9 +6.4% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 6%-9%?Ends in 10d | No | 144 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $134 | −$1 −0.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 180 | 81¢ → 73¢ | $131 | −$16 −11% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 135 | 39¢ → 96¢ | $130 | +$77 +144% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 200 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $130 | +$2 +1.6% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 439 | 30¢ → 27¢ | $120 | −$10 −7.9% |
| Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 160 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $117 | +$2 +2.0% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 120 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $116 | +$4 +3.2% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 169 | 64¢ → 67¢ | $113 | +$5 +4.8% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 18h | No | 153 | 71¢ → 74¢ | $112 | +$4 +3.8% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 114 | 68¢ → 98¢ | $112 | +$34 +44% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Ends in 2d | No | 140 | 69¢ → 76¢ | $106 | +$9 +9.6% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | No | 120 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $105 | +$3 +2.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 160 | 60¢ → 66¢ | $105 | +$9 +9.6% |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%?Ends in 2d | No | 120 | 95¢ → 87¢ | $105 | −$9 −7.9% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 108 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $103 | +$3 +2.7% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 173 | 4¢ → 59¢ | $102 | +$95 +1370% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 24?Ends ended | No | 123 | 65¢ → 83¢ | $102 | +$21 +27% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 115 | 73¢ → 88¢ | $101 | +$17 +20% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 108 | 75¢ → 91¢ | $98 | +$18 +22% |
| Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 18h | No | 122 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $96 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Ends in 2d | No | 109 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $95 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 86 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $85 | +$6 +7.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 79°F or below on July 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 80 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $80 | +$16 +24% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherEnds in 11d | No | 80 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $80 | +$2 +2.4% |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 80 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $80 | +$2 +3.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 80 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $79 | +$3 +3.9% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | Yes | 421 | 21¢ → 19¢ | $79 | −$11 −12% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 240 | 40¢ → 33¢ | $78 | −$19 −19% |
| Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 80 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $78 | +$2 +2.8% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 80 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $77 | +$4 +5.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 80 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $77 | +$3 +3.7% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00 and $2.10 in October?Ends in 18d | No | 80 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $76 | +$3 +3.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 80 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $76 | +$3 +3.8% |
| Will Otzma Yehudit win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 76 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $76 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 97 | 72¢ → 77¢ | $74 | +$5 +6.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 90 | 59¢ → 82¢ | $74 | +$20 +38% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?Ends in 12d | No | 79 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $72 | +$2 +3.6% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?Ends in 11d | No | 80 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $72 | +$2 +2.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 12%-15%?Ends in 11d | No | 76 | 97¢ → 95¢ | $72 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be 900,000 or more?Ends in 11d | No | 80 | 96¢ → 89¢ | $71 | −$5 −6.6% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 11d | No | 80 | 90¢ → 87¢ | $69 | −$2 −3.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 25?Ends in 18h | No | 117 | 59¢ → 59¢ | $69 | −$1 −0.8% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 131 | 34¢ → 53¢ | $69 | +$24 +53% |
| Will Michigan be the closest Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 72 | 95¢ → 93¢ | $67 | −$2 −2.4% |
| Will Republicans win the Texas and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Michigan?Ends in 10d | No | 70 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $67 | +$6 +9.4% |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 124 | 81¢ → 54¢ | $67 | −$34 −34% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 24?Ends ended | No | 80 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $66 | +$2 +3.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 80 | 78¢ → 82¢ | $66 | +$4 +5.8% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 70 | 53¢ → 94¢ | $65 | +$29 +78% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 73 | 71¢ → 87¢ | $63 | +$11 +21% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 11d | No | 66 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $62 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 79 | 1¢ → 78¢ | $61 | +$60 +6803% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 76 | 76¢ → 79¢ | $60 | +$2 +3.4% |
| Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Ends in 22d | No | 79 | 55¢ → 76¢ | $60 | +$17 +39% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 5%-10%?Ends in 11d | No | 62 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $59 | +$2 +4.2% |
| Will Robert Ritz win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 75 | 93¢ → 78¢ | $58 | −$12 −17% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 80 | 67¢ → 73¢ | $58 | +$4 +8.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 169 | 8¢ → 34¢ | $57 | +$43 +308% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%?Ends in 11d | No | 65 | 93¢ → 88¢ | $57 | −$3 −5.6% |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?Ends in 18h | No | 129 | 56¢ → 45¢ | $57 | −$15 −21% |
| Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?Ends in 18h | No | 63 | 95¢ → 91¢ | $57 | −$3 −4.7% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 160 | 68¢ → 36¢ | $57 | −$52 −48% |
| Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?Ends in 3d | No | 56 | 64¢ → >99¢ | $56 | +$20 +56% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | Yes | 67 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $54 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the RI-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 53 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $52 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 50% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 56 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $51 | −$1 −2.0% |
| Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw?Ends in 18h | No | 69 | 69¢ → 74¢ | $51 | +$3 +7.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?Ends in 10d | No | 230 | 25¢ → 22¢ | $49 | −$9 −15% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-09 House election by 3%-6%?Ends in 11d | No | 53 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $49 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 61 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $48 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Ends in 11d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$2 +3.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 22?Ends ended | No | 47 | 68¢ → >99¢ | $47 | +$15 +47% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 120 | 32¢ → 39¢ | $46 | +$8 +20% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 82 | 78¢ → 56¢ | $46 | −$18 −28% |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 101 | 27¢ → 45¢ | $45 | +$18 +64% |
| Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-10-24?Ends in 18h | No | 80 | 56¢ → 56¢ | $45 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 23?Ends ended | No | 45 | 55¢ → >99¢ | $45 | +$20 +83% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 55 | 87¢ → 82¢ | $45 | −$3 −6.6% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 48 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $44 | +$5 +12% |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends ended | No | 48 | 52¢ → 93¢ | $44 | +$20 +79% |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 159 | 25¢ → 28¢ | $44 | +$5 +13% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 7d | Yes | 60 | 3¢ → 74¢ | $44 | +$42 +2182% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | Yes | 47 | 67¢ → 92¢ | $44 | +$12 +37% |
