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Polymarket wallet 0x904c33389b909c0a8763b9393f45ec50ae622634 · on Polymarket since Nov 15, 2024 · also shown as Pessimistic-Tube
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?Ends in 250d | No | 48 | 21¢ → 15¢ | $7 | −$3 −28% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 182 | 11¢ → 2¢ | $4 | −$16 −78% |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 112 | 13¢ → 3¢ | $4 | −$11 −75% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 50 | 12¢ → 6¢ | $3 | −$3 −52% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 101 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$8 −76% |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 64 | 8¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$4 −72% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 8 | 62¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$5 −94% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 49 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.