| Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 100 | 59¢ → 54¢ | $54 | −$5 −8.5% |
| Will "Please" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 100 | 54¢ → 51¢ | $51 | −$3 −5.6% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Ends in 434d | No | 50 | 83¢ → 81¢ | $40 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 50 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $40 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 50 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $39 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will Darian Mensah win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Ends in 64d | No | 50 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $38 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 50 | 77¢ → 73¢ | $37 | −$2 −5.2% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 50 | 74¢ → 73¢ | $37 | −$1 −1.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 73¢ → 73¢ | $36 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 69¢ → 69¢ | $34 | $0 0.0% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 50 | 66¢ → 66¢ | $33 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 73¢ → 65¢ | $32 | −$4 −12% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Ends in 434d | Yes | 50 | 73¢ → 64¢ | $32 | −$5 −13% |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 40 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $32 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 61¢ → 60¢ | $30 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 34 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 50 | 61¢ → 56¢ | $28 | −$3 −8.9% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?Ends in 433d | Yes | 50 | 60¢ → 54¢ | $27 | −$3 −11% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 50 | 50¢ → 51¢ | $25 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 50 | 51¢ → 49¢ | $24 | −$1 −4.9% |
| Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 35¢ → 35¢ | $18 | $0 0.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | No | 38 | 42¢ → 43¢ | $16 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be above 1%?Ends in 40d | No | 20 | 81¢ → 79¢ | $16 | −$0 −2.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 50 | 32¢ → 30¢ | $15 | −$1 −6.3% |
| Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $14 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 40 | 37¢ → 36¢ | $14 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $14 | −$2 −9.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 60 | 25¢ → 23¢ | $14 | −$1 −7.4% |
| Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 25 | 57¢ → 52¢ | $13 | −$1 −8.8% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 20 | 64¢ → 61¢ | $12 | −$1 −4.7% |
| Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 50 | 23¢ → 24¢ | $12 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 23¢ → 23¢ | $11 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 20 | 59¢ → 56¢ | $11 | −$1 −5.1% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 50 | 22¢ → 22¢ | $11 | −$0 −2.3% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 54¢ → 53¢ | $11 | −$0 −1.9% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 50 | 25¢ → 21¢ | $11 | −$2 −16% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 128d | No | 18 | 63¢ → 57¢ | $10 | −$1 −8.7% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?Ends in 433d | No | 13 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 22¢ → 18¢ | $9 | −$2 −18% |
| Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 11 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 50 | 18¢ → 17¢ | $9 | −$0 −5.0% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $9 | $0 0.0% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 20 | 42¢ → 42¢ | $8 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 40 | 20¢ → 20¢ | $8 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be below 0%?Ends in 40d | No | 9 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 72¢ | $7 | −$1 −7.7% |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 22¢ → 14¢ | $7 | −$4 −36% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 20 | 38¢ → 35¢ | $7 | −$1 −9.2% |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 9 | 74¢ → 76¢ | $7 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 65¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.7% |
| Will Orlando Pirates FC win on 2026-10-23?Ends ended | Yes | 6 | 83¢ → >99¢ | $6 | +$1 +20% |
| Will Shamrock Rovers win on 2026-10-23?Ends ended | Yes | 6 | 85¢ → >99¢ | $6 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 30¢ → 29¢ | $6 | −$0 −3.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 9 | 61¢ → 63¢ | $6 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 430,000 and 460,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $6 | −$0 −5.2% |
| Will Enugu Rangers International FC win on 2026-10-23?Ends ended | No | 5 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.8% |
| Will AlloX launch a token by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 10 | 59¢ → 51¢ | $5 | −$1 −14% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $5 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 35%-40%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 26¢ → 25¢ | $5 | −$0 −5.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 8 | 57¢ → 59¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 40% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 21 | 25¢ → 24¢ | $5 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 20 | 24¢ → 24¢ | $5 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 47¢ → 48¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.1% |
| CA Tigre vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 2.5Ends in 1h | Over | 13 | 37¢ → 37¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Club Necaxa vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5Ends in 1h | Over | 9 | 56¢ → 56¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Deportes Iquique vs. Deportes Magallanes: O/U 2.5Ends ended | Over | 8 | 62¢ → 61¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 11d | No | 6 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5Ends ended | Under | 14 | 13¢ → 33¢ | $5 | +$3 +150% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 27¢ → 23¢ | $5 | −$1 −17% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?Ends in 250d | Yes | 5 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Audax CS Italiano vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 3.5Ends ended | Under | 6 | 67¢ → 68¢ | $4 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 35¢ → 37¢ | $4 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 66¢ → 70¢ | $4 | +$0 +6.1% |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 13 | 35¢ → 27¢ | $3 | −$1 −23% |
| Gateshead FC vs. Tamworth FC: O/U 0.5Ends ended | Under | 11 | 6¢ → 30¢ | $3 | +$3 +433% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-15 House election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | No | 4 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $3 | +$0 +3.1% |
| CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5Ends ended | Over | 12 | 40¢ → 25¢ | $3 | −$2 −37% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 20 | 35¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$4 −59% |
| Will Audax CS Italiano vs. CD Huachipato end in a draw?Ends ended | No | 4 | 73¢ → 74¢ | $3 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 2.5Ends ended | Over | 6 | 62¢ → 45¢ | $3 | −$1 −27% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 35%-40%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 11 | 20¢ → 22¢ | $3 | +$0 +10.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 22¢ → 25¢ | $2 | +$0 +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 24?Ends in 1h | No | 13 | 19¢ → 19¢ | $2 | −$0 −2.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 12 | 17¢ → 19¢ | $2 | +$0 +12% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 9 | 32¢ → 26¢ | $2 | −$1 −19% |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 26¢ → 25¢ | $2 | −$0 −5.8% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 2 | 51¢ → 57¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 3 | 49¢ → 44¢ | $1 | −$0 −10% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 5 | 21¢ → 22¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.8% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3 | 32¢ → 41¢ | $1 | +$0 +27% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 9 | 15¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$0 −24% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 12% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 11¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$1 −59% |
| Deportes Iquique vs. Deportes Magallanes: O/U 0.5Ends ended | Under | 11 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$0 −5.2% |
| Audax CS Italiano vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 0.5Ends ended | Under | 5 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$0 −8.3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?Ends in 1h | Yes | 5 | 25¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −93% |
| Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 2 | 36¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$1 −90% |
| Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 0.5Ends ended | Under | 10 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −99% |
| CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Platense: O/U 0.5Ends ended | Under | 6 | 10¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bhayangkara Presisi Lampung FC vs. Psim Yogyakarta: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 8 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
