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Polymarket wallet 0xeb8984bd4aad72274f170bfc71ef4fa21a4646f1 · on Polymarket since Nov 24, 2025 · also shown as Scaly-Caution
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epstein client list released in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 131 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 133 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 33 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,268 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$240 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,898 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,642 −100% |
| Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 148 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 271 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 123 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$59 −100% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,637 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$114 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.