| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,268 | 51¢ → 89¢ | $1,122 | +$477 +74% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 564 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $485 | +$24 +5.3% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 450 | 64¢ → 95¢ | $429 | +$141 +49% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 403 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $385 | +$2 +0.6% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 267 | 69¢ → 78¢ | $207 | +$23 +12% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 196 | 84¢ → 88¢ | $172 | +$9 +5.2% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 11d | Yes | 170 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $168 | +$16 +11% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 216 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $166 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 7,897 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $154 | +$91 +144% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | Yes | 167 | 67¢ → 69¢ | $115 | +$2 +1.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 110 | 57¢ → 78¢ | $85 | +$22 +36% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 355 | 27¢ → 22¢ | $76 | −$21 −22% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 84 | 65¢ → 87¢ | $74 | +$19 +35% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 772 | 8¢ → 10¢ | $73 | +$13 +21% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 67 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $67 | +$2 +3.0% |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 69 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $66 | +$4 +6.7% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 65 | 68¢ → 88¢ | $57 | +$13 +29% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 63 | 71¢ → 87¢ | $55 | +$10 +21% |
| Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?Ends ended | Yes | 49 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $47 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 48 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $46 | +$3 +6.4% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 43 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $43 | +$2 +5.9% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 46 | 64¢ → 87¢ | $40 | +$10 +35% |
| Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 40 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $39 | +$6 +17% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 42 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $38 | +$3 +7.6% |
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Ends ended | Yes | 29 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $28 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 29 | 71¢ → 82¢ | $24 | +$3 +15% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 30 | 68¢ → 71¢ | $21 | +$1 +4.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 23 | 79¢ → 84¢ | $19 | +$1 +5.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 252 | 30¢ → 8¢ | $19 | −$57 −75% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 71 | 18¢ → 26¢ | $18 | +$6 +44% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 19 | 74¢ → 94¢ | $18 | +$4 +27% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 107 | 41¢ → 16¢ | $17 | −$28 −63% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 62 | 18¢ → 24¢ | $15 | +$4 +33% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 525d | Yes | 15 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $13 | +$1 +9.2% |
| Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Ends ended | Yes | 14 | 91¢ → 84¢ | $12 | −$1 −7.7% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 52¢ → 60¢ | $12 | +$2 +15% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 258 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $10 | +$1 +7.2% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 143 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$0 +5.5% |
| Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Ends in 434d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $9 | +$1 +7.4% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 60 | 28¢ → 15¢ | $9 | −$8 −46% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $9 | +$1 +6.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 48 | 51¢ → 12¢ | $5 | −$19 −77% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 59 | 35¢ → 9¢ | $5 | −$15 −75% |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 68 | 12¢ → 7¢ | $5 | −$3 −42% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 9 | 38¢ → 49¢ | $4 | +$1 +29% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.4% |
| Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $4 | +$0 +4.9% |
| Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 3 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $3 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Ends ended | Yes | 1 | 85¢ → 79¢ | $1 | −$0 −7.6% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 7 | 20¢ → 8¢ | $1 | −$1 −63% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 15 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −74% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | No | 12 | 25¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$3 −94% |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 130 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca BulgaruSettled - ready to redeem | Miriam Bianca Bulgaru | 164 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 151 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 179 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 816 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Lula | 34 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will there be no next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 261 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 28 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 645 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 44 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 166 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 374 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 39 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 106 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 52 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 136 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 70 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 234 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 32 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 46 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 222 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$148 −100% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 501 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$221 −100% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,221 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$119 −100% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 85 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
