| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 164 | 32¢ → 89¢ | $145 | +$93 +175% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 77 | 70¢ → 87¢ | $67 | +$13 +25% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 33 | 37¢ → 94¢ | $31 | +$19 +153% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 32 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $27 | +$2 +7.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 78¢ → 51¢ | $25 | −$13 −34% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 24 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $23 | +$2 +8.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 20¢ → 65¢ | $19 | +$13 +220% |
| Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 19 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 16 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $16 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 16 | 64¢ → 95¢ | $15 | +$5 +48% |
| Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $14 | +$1 +4.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 14 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $13 | +$1 +5.4% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 13 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $12 | +$0 +2.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 17 | 92¢ → 59¢ | $10 | −$6 −36% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 9 | 69¢ → 95¢ | $8 | +$2 +37% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 8 | 76¢ → >99¢ | $8 | +$2 +31% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 434d | Anthropic | 8 | 78¢ → 94¢ | $7 | +$1 +21% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $7 | +$1 +17% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 7 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $7 | +$1 +15% |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.7% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $6 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $6 | +$0 +3.0% |
| Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Connecticut by November 30, 2026?Ends in 45d | No | 6 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in New York by November 30, 2026?Ends in 45d | No | 6 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 49¢ → 29¢ | $4 | −$3 −40% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 151 | 14¢ → 2¢ | $4 | −$18 −83% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 40 | 27¢ → 8¢ | $3 | −$8 −72% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 15 | 18¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$1 −53% |
| Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Ends in 69d | Yes | 38 | 46¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$16 −93% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | No | 72 | 8¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$5 −81% |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 58 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 64 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 34 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 47 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 58 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Tractor" during National Agriculture Day events?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 630 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 293 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Trump or Melania say "Child" 5+ times at the Military Mothers event?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 144 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 99¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 142 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 43 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 46 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 78 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,132 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,349 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$474 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 39 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Trump kiss by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 244 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 37 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will 20-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 377 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 103 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 54 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 506 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 475 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 167 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
