| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $14 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by June 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Chetan Nehra be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will GPT-Bidi-1 be released by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| FDA approves Otsuka's Centanafadine?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will MrBeast hit 508 million subscribers by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $0.9B?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 44 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will BlackRock (BLK) Q2 quarterly total net inflows be above $175B?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 44 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $85B by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 5?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $250M?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Prologis (PLD) Q2 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.50?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q2 MedTech revenue be above $8.9B?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Corey Sawyer Jr. be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Ronnie Gunter be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Adobe Q2 total ARR be above $27.0B?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Brett Kavanaugh by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| FDA approves Celcuity's Gedatolisib?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $17B by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Jaiden Bacciocco be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Gal Tschnieder be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 11?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q2 Innovation Medicine revenue be above $16.35B?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Cristiano Ronaldo by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Jen Terry be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 90 mph?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Amora Robinson be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Dana White by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Future officially release "The Real Me" by July 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Ariana Grande officially release Petal by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 23 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Cam Skattebo attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 24 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Carmelo Anthony attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 24 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.75B by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Caleb McDaniel be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
