| Spain snap election called in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 602 | 69¢ → 100¢ | $602 | +$188 +45% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 488 | 77¢ → 100¢ | $488 | +$110 +29% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 253d | No | 592 | 67¢ → 75¢ | $444 | +$46 +12% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 438 | 63¢ → 99¢ | $434 | +$156 +56% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Ends in 253d | No | 455 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $426 | +$9 +2.1% |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 416 | 77¢ → 100¢ | $416 | +$94 +29% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 41d | No | 1,148 | 35¢ → 35¢ | $402 | −$1 −0.2% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 11d | No | 370 | 75¢ → 95¢ | $353 | +$76 +27% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 408 | 88¢ → 83¢ | $337 | −$21 −5.7% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 303 | 75¢ → 100¢ | $303 | +$75 +33% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 162d | Yes | 878 | 46¢ → 33¢ | $285 | −$115 −29% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 56d | No | 1,024 | 25¢ → 26¢ | $261 | +$10 +3.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 305 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $261 | +$5 +2.0% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 41d | No | 263 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $238 | −$2 −0.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 103d | No | 293 | 65¢ → 79¢ | $230 | +$40 +21% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 262 | 76¢ → 82¢ | $214 | +$15 +7.6% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 26d | Yes | 2,608 | 14¢ → 8¢ | $211 | −$142 −40% |
| Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?Ends in 253d | Yes | 364 | 20¢ → 54¢ | $197 | +$123 +169% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?Ends in 41d | No | 643 | 23¢ → 30¢ | $193 | +$44 +30% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 224 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $192 | −$2 −1.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 201 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $191 | +$21 +13% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 190 | 77¢ → 100¢ | $190 | +$43 +29% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 103d | Yes | 774 | 21¢ → 22¢ | $166 | +$3 +1.8% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 172 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $166 | +$16 +10% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | No | 168 | 77¢ → 91¢ | $152 | +$23 +18% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 253d | Yes | 277 | 63¢ → 52¢ | $143 | −$32 −18% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 671 | 50¢ → 21¢ | $141 | −$193 −58% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 170 | 76¢ → 79¢ | $134 | +$5 +3.5% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 10d | No | 133 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $124 | +$3 +2.6% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 253d | No | 134 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $120 | +$5 +4.1% |
| Curfew in a major French city by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 118 | 78¢ → 100¢ | $118 | +$26 +28% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 116 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $113 | +$5 +4.9% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 217 | 49¢ → 51¢ | $110 | +$4 +4.0% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | No | 322 | 40¢ → 34¢ | $108 | −$20 −16% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 162d | No | 154 | 47¢ → 68¢ | $104 | +$32 +45% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 419 | 17¢ → 22¢ | $90 | +$21 +30% |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by November 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 69¢ → 100¢ | $90 | +$28 +45% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | No | 99 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $89 | +$4 +5.3% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 803d | Yes | 310 | 13¢ → 28¢ | $85 | +$45 +113% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 41d | No | 112 | 73¢ → 75¢ | $84 | +$2 +2.5% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 253d | Yes | 333 | 24¢ → 25¢ | $83 | +$3 +3.8% |
| Curfew in a major French city by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 81 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $81 | +$16 +25% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 253d | No | 167 | 48¢ → 49¢ | $81 | +$1 +1.5% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 40d | No | 128 | 67¢ → 62¢ | $78 | −$7 −7.7% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 99 | 81¢ → 79¢ | $78 | −$2 −2.6% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 92 | 72¢ → 79¢ | $72 | +$6 +9.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | Yes | 743 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $71 | −$11 −14% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Ends in 223d | No | 130 | 51¢ → 52¢ | $67 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 72d | No | 70 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $67 | +$4 +5.9% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1168d | No | 88 | 69¢ → 72¢ | $63 | +$2 +3.6% |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?Ends in 253d | No | 151 | 45¢ → 40¢ | $60 | −$8 −12% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 253d | No | 71 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $60 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 1,150 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $53 | −$3 −6.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 11d | No | 53 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $52 | +$6 +13% |
| Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 572 | 26¢ → 9¢ | $52 | −$96 −65% |
| Curfew in a major French city by November 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 46 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $46 | +$6 +14% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 46 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $45 | +$3 +8.3% |
| Will SB Energy IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 187 | 78¢ → 23¢ | $44 | −$103 −70% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 49 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $42 | +$2 +5.5% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1168d | Yes | 212 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $41 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 41d | No | 46 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $41 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 803d | No | 56 | 73¢ → 73¢ | $41 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | Yes | 208 | 35¢ → 20¢ | $41 | −$32 −44% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 101 | 40¢ → 40¢ | $40 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Ends in 253d | Yes | 342 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $39 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 803d | Yes | 201 | 10¢ → 20¢ | $39 | +$19 +95% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 39 | 76¢ → 100¢ | $39 | +$9 +32% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 41d | No | 45 | 67¢ → 86¢ | $39 | +$9 +29% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | Yes | 235 | 42¢ → 17¢ | $39 | −$60 −61% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 803d | Yes | 149 | 27¢ → 26¢ | $39 | −$1 −3.6% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | Yes | 383 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $38 | −$2 −4.5% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 41d | Yes | 261 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $37 | −$4 −8.8% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 253d | Yes | 291 | 35¢ → 13¢ | $36 | −$64 −64% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 43 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $36 | +$1 +2.5% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 10d | Yes | 36 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $34 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 34 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $34 | +$2 +7.1% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 41d | No | 60 | 55¢ → 57¢ | $34 | +$1 +3.1% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 11d | Yes | 723 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $34 | −$6 −15% |
| Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?Ends in 253d | Yes | 104 | 49¢ → 31¢ | $32 | −$18 −36% |
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $32 | +$2 +5.3% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?Ends in 3d | No | 187 | 22¢ → 17¢ | $32 | −$10 −24% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Ends in 131d | Yes | 113 | 27¢ → 27¢ | $30 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?Ends in 345d | Yes | 204 | 34¢ → 14¢ | $30 | −$40 −57% |
| Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | Yes | 254 | 17¢ → 12¢ | $29 | −$14 −32% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 199 | 36¢ → 14¢ | $29 | −$44 −60% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | Yes | 209 | 22¢ → 14¢ | $28 | −$19 −40% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 28 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $27 | +$2 +9.3% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 32 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $27 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1168d | Yes | 104 | 26¢ → 25¢ | $26 | −$1 −3.8% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | Yes | 218 | 38¢ → 12¢ | $25 | −$58 −70% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 162 | 21¢ → 15¢ | $24 | −$10 −30% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | Yes | 194 | 31¢ → 13¢ | $24 | −$36 −60% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | No | 28 | 74¢ → 87¢ | $24 | +$4 +17% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 26d | No | 26 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $24 | −$1 −2.1% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 23 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $23 | +$2 +11% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 23 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $22 | +$2 +11% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $22 | +$2 +7.5% |
| Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 22 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $21 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 803d | Yes | 77 | 26¢ → 27¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 803d | No | 24 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.2% |
