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Polymarket wallet 0x4f88d2e04ff1bdedb98b93da67fb8fc7e5840f9a · on Polymarket since Jul 28, 2024 · also shown as Careless-Hire
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 237 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $232 | +$2 +0.8% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $30 | +$5 +20% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 29 | 85¢ → 78¢ | $23 | −$2 −8.4% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 9 | 55¢ → 44¢ | $4 | −$1 −20% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 19 | 37¢ → 15¢ | $3 | −$4 −59% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 23 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.