| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Odds of Khamenei out by February over 50% in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 157 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 9 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 318 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 200 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 511 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 259 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 47 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 53 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 147 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 96 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 115 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 11 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 155 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 200 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 9 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 11 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 316 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 164 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 22 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 126 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 588 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 12 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 963 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$180 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 48 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 74 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 206 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$79 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 9 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 15 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Park Sung-jae in jail by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 191 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 316 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 600 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 24 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 17 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 207 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 150 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 385 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 71 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 59 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 7 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 350 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 300 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 167 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 227 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 16 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 118 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 107 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 18 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 162 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 255 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 30 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 86 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 458 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 21 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 276 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,200 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 556 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 261 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 77 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 191 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 250 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 102 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 19 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 350 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 29 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 111 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 539 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 11 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 18 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 32 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 299 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$143 −100% |
