| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 3 | 43¢ → 23¢ | $1 | −$1 −48% |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 9 | 15¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$1 −63% |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 15 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$1 −72% |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 50 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −84% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 88 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 49 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Settled - ready to redeem | No | 29 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 37 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 44 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 37 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Borova by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 29 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 109 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 57 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 23 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 85 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 69 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 54 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Stavky by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 81 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 43 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 86 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 39 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
