Rougrot

Polymarket wallet 0xa4e380c8e86477cf3918826aab29ada08a46b39e · on Polymarket since Dec 27, 2025 · also shown as Fast-Locomotive

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $6.68K
All-time profit: −$308
Volume traded: $198K
All-time rank: #2,893,445
Markets traded: 1,147
Recent hit rate: 58%29 of last 50 closed

Open positions

49 markets · $6.68K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended	Yes	8,000	38¢ → 80¢	$6,364	+$3,324 +109%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 2d	Yes	200	39¢ → 34¢	$68	−$10 −13%
Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Ends ended	Yes	500	32¢ → 12¢	$60	−$99 −62%
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?Ends in 2d	Yes	100	61¢ → 53¢	$53	−$8 −13%
Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores?Ends in 49d	Yes	69	58¢ → 65¢	$45	+$5 +11%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 2d	Yes	30	66¢ → 65¢	$20	−$0 −2.1%
Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by less than 4%?Ends in 2d	Yes	70	33¢ → 24¢	$17	−$6 −27%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?Ends in 2d	Yes	10	73¢ → 73¢	$7	−$0 −0.3%
Will Atletico Mineiro win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?Ends in 29d	Yes	12	49¢ → 49¢	$6	−$0 −0.1%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d	Yes	15	34¢ → 28¢	$4	−$1 −17%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d	Yes	13	39¢ → 23¢	$3	−$2 −42%
Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?Ends in 2d	Yes	48	2¢ → 5¢	$2	+$1 +144%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d	Yes	255	2¢ → 1¢	$2	−$3 −56%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	8	15¢ → 15¢	$1	+$0 +3.4%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d	No	1	72¢ → 86¢	$1	+$0 +20%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d	Yes	9	12¢ → 14¢	$1	+$0 +17%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	13	8¢ → 9¢	$1	+$0 +13%
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d	Yes	2	62¢ → 67¢	$1	+$0 +8.1%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended	Yes	2	53¢ → 53¢	$1	−$0 −0.9%
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	1	78¢ → 81¢	$1	+$0 +3.2%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d	No	2	62¢ → 64¢	$1	+$0 +2.4%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d	Yes	3	40¢ → 41¢	$1	+$0 +1.3%
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d	Yes	1	81¢ → 81¢	$1	−$0 −0.6%
Rockets vs. HawksEnds in 16h	Hawks	2	53¢ → 53¢	$1	−$0 −0.9%
Will the Yokohama DeNA BayStars win the 2026 Japan Series?Ends in 8d	No	1	72¢ → 71¢	$1	−$0 −1.0%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d	Yes	1	62¢ → 69¢	$1	+$0 +11%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	No	1	93¢ → 92¢	$1	−$0 −1.1%
Spread: Heat (-3.5)Ends ended	Heat	2	50¢ → 49¢	$1	−$0 −3.0%
Spread: Nicholls State (-10.5)Ends ended	Nicholls State	2	58¢ → 56¢	$1	−$0 −3.4%
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Ends in 69d	Yes	3	39¢ → 38¢	$1	−$0 −3.8%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d	Yes	2	43¢ → 46¢	$1	+$0 +6.8%
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 250d	Yes	28	4¢ → 3¢	$1	−$0 −8.3%
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 159d	Yes	29	3¢ → 3¢	$1	−$0 −10.0%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d	Yes	1	45¢ → 76¢	$1	+$0 +71%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d	Yes	1	74¢ → 75¢	$1	+$0 +0.7%
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 159d	Yes	5	9¢ → 16¢	$1	+$0 +75%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d	Yes	8	13¢ → 9¢	$1	−$0 −32%
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	5	19¢ → 12¢	$1	−$0 −37%
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Ends in 2d	Yes	4	77¢ → 13¢	$1	−$2 −83%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Ends in 68d	Yes	8	12¢ → 2¢	$0	−$1 −80%
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d	Yes	300	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$3 −96%
Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?Ends in 8d	Yes	1	88¢ → 13¢	$0	−$1 −85%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 43d	Yes	150	7¢ → <1¢	$0	−$10 −99%
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d	Yes	106	8¢ → <1¢	$0	−$8 −99%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Ends in 68d	Yes	4	27¢ → 1¢	$0	−$1 −95%
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d	Yes	50	39¢ → <1¢	$0	−$19 −100%
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d	Yes	26	19¢ → <1¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 16h	Yes	1	70¢ → 1¢	$0	−$1 −99%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d	Yes	22	23¢ → <1¢	$0	−$5 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
2h	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	BuyYes78¢	$1
2h	Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	BuyYes4¢	$1
2h	Spread: Heat (-3.5)	BuyHeat50¢	$1
2h	Spread: Nicholls State (-10.5)	BuyNicholls State58¢	$1
2h	Rockets vs. Hawks	BuyHawks53¢	$1
2h	Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?	BuyYes74¢	$5
2h	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	BuyYes66¢	$12
2h	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?	BuyYes61¢	$17
2h	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?	BuyYes61¢	$16
2h	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	BuyYes35¢	$14
6h	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	BuyGrizzlies40¢	$5
6h	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	BuyYes34¢	$3
7h	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND Hawks vs. Hornets	Sell>99¢	$43
7h	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BuyYes77¢	$84
7h	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BuyYes77¢	$100
7h	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	SellLYON>99¢	$156
7h	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	BuyLYON64¢	$102
7h	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND Hawks vs. Hornets	Buy57¢	$25
7h	Rockets vs. Spurs	BuyRockets36¢	$10
8h	LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Sell>99¢	$56
9h	LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Buy35¢	$20
10h	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SellYes76¢	$121
10h	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	BuyG2 Esports71¢	$51
10h	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Buy54¢	$13
13h	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?	BuyYes62¢	$20
14h	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	SellGen.G>99¢	$59
14h	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	BuyGen.G68¢	$41
14h	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SellYes76¢	$61
14h	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Buy61¢	$13
1d	Will Atletico Mineiro win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?	BuyYes49¢	$6
1d	Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores?	BuyYes58¢	$41
1d	CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Team to Advance	SellEstudiantes de La Plata57¢	$27
1d	CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Team to Advance	BuyEstudiantes de La Plata38¢	$10
1d	CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Team to Advance	BuyEstudiantes de La Plata46¢	$10
1d	Will CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?	SellYes>99¢	$48
1d	Will CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?	BuyYes69¢	$34
1d	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?	SellYes58¢	$23
1d	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?	SellYes58¢	$10
1d	Spread: Thunder (-7.5)	BuyThunder48¢	$3
2d	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Buy32¢	$5
2d	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Buy57¢	$12
2d	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND Suns vs. Trail Blazers AND Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-22?	Buy44¢	$15
2d	Will SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?	BuyYes19¢	$5
2d	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?	SellYes58¢	$41
2d	LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Buy44¢	$2
3d	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?	BuyYes2¢	$1
3d	Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?	SellNo67¢	$1
3d	Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	SellYes85¢	$1
3d	Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by less than 4%?	BuyYes27¢	$5
3d	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	SellYes62¢	$1
3d	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	SellYes73¢	$1
3d	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	SellNo82¢	$1
3d	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	SellYes74¢	$2
3d	Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by less than 4%?	BuyYes28¢	$2
3d	Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by less than 4%?	BuyYes28¢	$5
3d	Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	SellYes15¢	$5
3d	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	SellYes63¢	$3
3d	Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	SellYes15¢	$1
3d	Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by less than 4%?	BuyYes43¢	$5
3d	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?	SellYes15¢	$2

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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