alphaorc

Polymarket wallet 0xaa227d04d6149521077994ef53da1bf85eeca992 · on Polymarket since Nov 15, 2024 · also shown as Fine-Disregard

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$234
Volume traded: $14.6K
All-time rank: #2,842,829
Markets traded: 93
Recent hit rate: 92%46 of last 50 closed

Open positions

3 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	109	91¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will Kanye West release an album in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	109	92¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	114	88¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
366d	Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?	BuyYes98¢	$100
366d	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	BuyDown97¢	$94
366d	Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?	BuyYes97¢	$100
366d	US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?	BuyYes99¢	$100
366d	Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?	BuyYes97¢	$100
366d	100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?	BuyNo85¢	$100
366d	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	BuyYes93¢	$100
417d	Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	BuyYes83¢	$169
417d	Will FrP win the second most seats in the Norway election?	BuyYes94¢	$100
417d	Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?	BuyYes94¢	$120
421d	US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?	BuyNo82¢	$95
421d	Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?	BuyNo86¢	$100
421d	Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?	BuyYes89¢	$100
432d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4PM ET	SellUp99¢	$103
432d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4PM ET	BuyUp97¢	$100
432d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4PM ET	BuyDown88¢	$100
432d	Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	BuyYes71¢	$100
432d	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?	BuyNo81¢	$100
432d	Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?	BuyNo82¢	$100
466d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	BuyYes96¢	$34
466d	Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?	BuyNo84¢	$100
466d	Israel military action against Iran in July?	BuyNo87¢	$100
466d	Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?	BuyNo84¢	$100
466d	Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?	BuyNo87¢	$100
472d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	BuyYes86¢	$100
472d	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?	BuyNo96¢	$100
472d	Solana Up or Down on July 9?	BuyUp85¢	$100
472d	Yoon in jail before August?	BuyYes88¢	$48
472d	Bitcoin Up or Down on July 9?	BuyUp72¢	$60
472d	Ethereum Up or Down on July 9?	BuyUp93¢	$69
472d	Yoon arrested by July 15?	BuyYes97¢	$100
472d	Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday?	BuyYes80¢	$100
483d	Ethereum Up or Down on June 28?	BuyDown88¢	$168
489d	Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?	BuyNo90¢	$151
492d	US military action against Iran before July?	BuyNo37¢	$65
497d	Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?	BuyNo90¢	$136
500d	Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?	BuyNo80¢	$109
507d	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	BuyNo95¢	$107
507d	Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?	BuyNo68¢	$45
507d	Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2025?	BuyYes91¢	$100
507d	Will Kanye West release an album in 2025?	BuyYes92¢	$100
507d	Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?	BuyNo71¢	$50
507d	Another Elon baby before July?	BuyNo93¢	$120
507d	Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?	BuyYes77¢	$60
507d	Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 3-9?	BuyYes92¢	$100
507d	Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?	BuyNo87¢	$100
517d	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $108K on May 25 at 5 PM ET?	BuyYes85¢	$109
524d	No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?	BuyYes89¢	$58
524d	Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?	BuyYes92¢	$100
524d	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?	BuyNo93¢	$100
524d	Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?	BuyYes89¢	$100
524d	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?	BuyNo94¢	$100
524d	Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?	BuyYes90¢	$100
524d	Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?	BuyYes90¢	$100
548d	No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?	BuyYes91¢	$244
550d	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	BuyYes96¢	$69
550d	Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?	BuyYes78¢	$60
550d	Will Musk say "China" 3+ times during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?	BuyYes78¢	$60
550d	Will Musk say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?	BuyYes98¢	$100
550d	Will the next Pope be from Europe?	BuyYes67¢	$40

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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