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Polymarket wallet 0xc83d1658c8c856263fddf44c152d65c5346aaa04 · on Polymarket since Jan 14, 2026 · also shown as Wary-Intervenor
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?Ends in 133d | No | 1 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,010 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 987 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 997 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.