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Polymarket wallet 0xd2cba0c6464f96d2567ecc81d5f708d9670e7729 · on Polymarket since Apr 18, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 658 | 76¢ → 98¢ | $643 | +$143 +29% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 10d | Yes | 233 | 43¢ → 67¢ | $155 | +$55 +55% |
| Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 2,110 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $77 | −$21 −22% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 88 | 57¢ → 81¢ | $71 | +$21 +41% |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 230 | 87¢ → 5¢ | $13 | −$187 −94% |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 947 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $5 | −$45 −90% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 133 | 15¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$18 −91% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 361 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 501 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$431 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 611 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$578 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 46 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.