| Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 85 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $82 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 85 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $82 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 85 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $82 | −$1 −0.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 80 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $78 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 75 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $73 | +$3 +4.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 76 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $72 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-16 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 75 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $72 | +$1 +0.9% |
| Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 60 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $58 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 70 | 61¢ → 83¢ | $58 | +$15 +35% |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 60 | 80¢ → 91¢ | $55 | +$7 +14% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 56 | 97¢ → 95¢ | $53 | −$1 −2.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 55 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $53 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 61 | 88¢ → 86¢ | $52 | −$1 −2.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 61 | 91¢ → 85¢ | $51 | −$4 −7.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 52 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $51 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 51 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $49 | +$1 +1.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 51 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $49 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $49 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 47 | 97¢ → 95¢ | $45 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 46 | 98¢ → 96¢ | $44 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 44 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $42 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 42 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $41 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the Republican Party win the UT-04 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $38 | +$1 +2.3% |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $37 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $29 | +$2 +5.5% |
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $29 | +$4 +15% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $29 | +$2 +8.6% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 106 | 39¢ → 25¢ | $26 | −$16 −38% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 26 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $25 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 27 | 65¢ → 84¢ | $23 | +$5 +29% |
| Discord IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 21 | 46¢ → 93¢ | $20 | +$10 +101% |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $15 | +$1 +6.2% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 69d | Yes | 94 | 36¢ → 16¢ | $15 | −$19 −55% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 19 | 72¢ → 74¢ | $14 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 16 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $14 | −$0 −2.3% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 70¢ → 84¢ | $12 | +$2 +19% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 70 | 6¢ → 16¢ | $11 | +$7 +158% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 67 | 9¢ → 14¢ | $9 | +$3 +56% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 11 | 62¢ → 65¢ | $7 | +$0 +4.8% |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 32 | 12¢ → 21¢ | $7 | +$3 +71% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 60¢ → 64¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.8% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 72¢ → 78¢ | $6 | +$0 +7.9% |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | Yes | 64 | 16¢ → 8¢ | $5 | −$5 −50% |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 13 | 33¢ → 35¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 87 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $4 | −$4 −53% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 37¢ → 37¢ | $4 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 81 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $3 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 52¢ → 91¢ | $3 | +$1 +75% |
| Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 161 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $3 | −$0 −7.1% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 49¢ → 91¢ | $3 | +$1 +86% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 17 | 11¢ → 14¢ | $2 | +$1 +35% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 43¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$1 +124% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 92 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $2 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WV-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 75 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $2 | +$1 +67% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | No | 3 | 13¢ → 93¢ | $2 | +$2 +612% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 38 | 12¢ → 6¢ | $2 | −$2 −48% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-16 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 81 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$0 −11% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 88 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $2 | +$0 +14% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 92 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$0 −8.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 33 | 10¢ → 6¢ | $2 | −$2 −45% |
| Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 46 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$1 −37% |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | Yes | 31 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$0 −20% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended | No | 2 | 30¢ → 78¢ | $2 | +$1 +158% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 98 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $2 | +$1 +53% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the UT-04 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 42 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$0 −22% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 61 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$0 −4.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 64 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $1 | +$0 +14% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 69 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.8% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Ends ended | No | 106 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −46% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-44 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 71 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$0 −3.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 56 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$1 −44% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 47 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$0 −15% |
| Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 54 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$1 −46% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-38 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 60 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$0 −30% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 54 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-16 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 53 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$0 −2.5% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3 | 29¢ → 30¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 49¢ → 21¢ | $1 | −$1 −58% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-06 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$0 −13% |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 23 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$0 −20% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-11 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$0 −35% |
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7 | 8¢ → 11¢ | $1 | +$0 +44% |
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 69d | Yes | 31 | 8¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$2 −68% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 29 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$0 −38% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 1 | 69¢ → 61¢ | $1 | −$0 −12% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 48 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −51% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 54 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$0 −45% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?Ends in 250d | Yes | 6 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $0 | +$0 +137% |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 9 | 11¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$1 −58% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 9 | 2¢ → 5¢ | $0 | +$0 +116% |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3 | 30¢ → 10¢ | $0 | −$1 −68% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 4 | 4¢ → 8¢ | $0 | +$0 +119% |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $0 | +$0 +81% |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $0 | +$0 +7.7% |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 3¢ → 6¢ | $0 | +$0 +63% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-26 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 6 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $0 | +$0 +59% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 6 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −5.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | Yes | 3 | 19¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$0 −71% |
