| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 114 | 4¢ → 65¢ | $74 | +$69 +1384% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 66 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $64 | +$9 +15% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 36 | 76¢ → 92¢ | $33 | +$6 +21% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 35 | 70¢ → 83¢ | $29 | +$4 +17% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 31 | 76¢ → 90¢ | $28 | +$4 +17% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 21 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$0 +2.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $18 | +$2 +16% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 23h | Yes | 19 | 80¢ → 93¢ | $18 | +$2 +15% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $18 | +$1 +6.6% |
| Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 19 | 74¢ → 90¢ | $17 | +$3 +21% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 21 | 75¢ → 79¢ | $17 | +$1 +6.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 17 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $17 | +$1 +8.0% |
| Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 19 | 90¢ → 86¢ | $16 | −$1 −5.0% |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 16 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $15 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 91¢ → 87¢ | $15 | −$1 −4.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 18 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $15 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 15 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $14 | −$0 −0.2% |
| EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 79¢ → 84¢ | $14 | +$1 +6.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 32 | 31¢ → 43¢ | $14 | +$4 +37% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 15 | 78¢ → 90¢ | $14 | +$2 +14% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 14 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $13 | +$1 +9.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 16 | 81¢ → 80¢ | $13 | −$0 −1.5% |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $13 | +$1 +8.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | No | 12 | 81¢ → 95¢ | $12 | +$2 +17% |
| X banned in any European country by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 76¢ → 88¢ | $11 | +$1 +15% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $11 | +$0 +3.5% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Ends in 8d | No | 11 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 12 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.6% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 11 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 100d | No | 13 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$1 +7.5% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 85¢ → 79¢ | $9 | −$1 −7.7% |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 69¢ → 80¢ | $9 | +$1 +16% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 11 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 12 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $9 | −$0 −0.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 5d | Yes | 10 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $9 | −$0 −2.0% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 9 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$1 +7.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 9 | 91¢ → 88¢ | $8 | −$0 −3.8% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $8 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $8 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 79¢ → 91¢ | $7 | +$1 +16% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 73¢ → 97¢ | $7 | +$2 +33% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | No | 6 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $6 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 50¢ → 61¢ | $6 | +$1 +21% |
| Will Russia capture Kindrativka by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 71¢ → 81¢ | $6 | +$1 +13% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 74¢ → 83¢ | $6 | +$1 +11% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 6 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $6 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 60¢ → 83¢ | $6 | +$2 +38% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 6 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 89¢ | $5 | −$0 −3.8% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 434d | Yes | 8 | 60¢ → 55¢ | $5 | −$0 −9.2% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 6 | 73¢ → 72¢ | $4 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 3 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $3 | +$0 +7.9% |
| Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 3 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $3 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 95¢ → 92¢ | $3 | −$0 −3.2% |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 4 | 77¢ → 68¢ | $3 | −$0 −12% |
| Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 86¢ → 75¢ | $3 | −$0 −13% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 67¢ → 84¢ | $2 | +$0 +25% |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 3 | 76¢ → 92¢ | $2 | +$0 +20% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 3 | 74¢ → 89¢ | $2 | +$0 +20% |
| Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 76¢ → 90¢ | $2 | +$0 +18% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 3 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 68¢ → 73¢ | $2 | +$0 +6.6% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 2 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.4% |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 77¢ → 82¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.8% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 2 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$0 +4.5% |
| Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 3 | 68¢ → 69¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 2 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $2 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 24 | 17¢ → 8¢ | $2 | −$2 −55% |
| Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 55d | Yes | 3 | 62¢ → 63¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 55¢ → 89¢ | $2 | +$1 +61% |
| U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4 | 73¢ → 36¢ | $1 | −$2 −51% |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 2 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.6% |
| Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?Ends ended | Yes | 2 | 95¢ → 67¢ | $1 | −$1 −30% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 1 | 72¢ → 92¢ | $1 | +$0 +27% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | Yes | 1 | 67¢ → 85¢ | $1 | +$0 +27% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 2 | 66¢ → 79¢ | $1 | +$0 +19% |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 75¢ → 89¢ | $1 | +$0 +18% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 1 | 82¢ → 93¢ | $1 | +$0 +13% |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 34¢ → 38¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 62¢ → 67¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.3% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 84¢ → 88¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.8% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 1 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 1 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?Ends in 342d | No | 3 | 40¢ → 37¢ | $1 | −$0 −8.8% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1 | 98¢ → 96¢ | $1 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 2 | 62¢ → 61¢ | $1 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1 | 85¢ → 76¢ | $1 | −$0 −11% |
| Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?Ends ended | Yes | 1 | 72¢ → 57¢ | $1 | −$0 −20% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 34¢ → 21¢ | $1 | −$0 −40% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 3 | 68¢ → 20¢ | $1 | −$1 −71% |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 3 | 26¢ → 19¢ | $1 | −$0 −30% |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 83 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 218 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
