| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 281 | 50¢ → 89¢ | $249 | +$109 +78% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 14?Ends ended | No | 244 | 58¢ → 91¢ | $222 | +$80 +56% |
| Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Ends in 33d | Yes | 656 | 37¢ → 28¢ | $187 | −$56 −23% |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 255 | 41¢ → 70¢ | $177 | +$72 +68% |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 7, 2026?Ends in 15d | No | 190 | 67¢ → 75¢ | $142 | +$15 +12% |
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | Yes | 243 | 49¢ → 54¢ | $130 | +$12 +9.8% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 69d | No | 135 | 74¢ → 85¢ | $114 | +$14 +14% |
| Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 149 | 52¢ → 76¢ | $113 | +$35 +45% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 1d | No | 111 | 18¢ → 96¢ | $107 | +$87 +436% |
| Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 139 | 55¢ → 75¢ | $104 | +$27 +35% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 69d | Mbappé | 136 | 59¢ → 74¢ | $101 | +$21 +26% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 165 | 48¢ → 61¢ | $101 | +$21 +26% |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 117 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $101 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 484 | 31¢ → 19¢ | $90 | −$60 −40% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?Ends in 69d | Rodri | 108 | 62¢ → 73¢ | $78 | +$11 +17% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 94 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $78 | +$2 +3.1% |
| Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 111 | 24¢ → 69¢ | $77 | +$50 +186% |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 3, 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 81 | 80¢ → 93¢ | $75 | +$10 +15% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Delcy Rodriguez by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 167 | 38¢ → 45¢ | $75 | +$11 +16% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?Ends in 2d | No | 529 | 19¢ → 14¢ | $74 | −$26 −26% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 128d | Yes | 185 | 37¢ → 37¢ | $68 | −$1 −1.4% |
| Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 119 | 21¢ → 52¢ | $61 | +$36 +145% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?Ends in 128d | Yes | 443 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $61 | −$19 −24% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Ends in 128d | Yes | 338 | 16¢ → 17¢ | $56 | +$3 +5.6% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 198 | 32¢ → 28¢ | $55 | −$9 −15% |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 12, 2026?Ends in 20d | No | 116 | 40¢ → 47¢ | $54 | +$9 +19% |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Ends in 128d | Yes | 262 | 21¢ → 21¢ | $54 | −$2 −3.7% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 19?Ends ended | No | 61 | 49¢ → 87¢ | $53 | +$23 +76% |
| Will there be at least 4900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 56 | 54¢ → 92¢ | $51 | +$21 +69% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?Ends ended | No | 58 | 48¢ → 87¢ | $51 | +$23 +81% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 249d | No | 69 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $50 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.B. Pritzker by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 161 | 33¢ → 31¢ | $49 | −$4 −7.4% |
| Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 161 | 52¢ → 31¢ | $49 | −$34 −41% |
| Will The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 156 | 32¢ → 31¢ | $48 | −$2 −4.6% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24?Ends ended | Yes | 65 | 50¢ → 72¢ | $47 | +$14 +44% |
| Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 65 | 62¢ → 72¢ | $46 | +$6 +15% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 20?Ends ended | No | 51 | 39¢ → 86¢ | $44 | +$24 +120% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 64 | 24¢ → 69¢ | $44 | +$29 +193% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 67 | 60¢ → 66¢ | $44 | +$4 +10% |
| Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | Yes | 163 | 31¢ → 25¢ | $41 | −$9 −19% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 72 | 42¢ → 52¢ | $37 | +$7 +24% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 30, 2026?Ends ended | No | 43 | 69¢ → 84¢ | $36 | +$6 +21% |
| Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | Yes | 88 | 34¢ → 40¢ | $35 | +$5 +16% |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 45 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $35 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | Yes | 117 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $33 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 39 | 52¢ → 83¢ | $32 | +$12 +60% |
| Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | Yes | 53 | 38¢ → 59¢ | $31 | +$11 +55% |
| Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 57 | 53¢ → 54¢ | $31 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | No | 198 | 25¢ → 16¢ | $31 | −$19 −39% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 48 | 62¢ → 61¢ | $30 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 35 | 57¢ → 82¢ | $29 | +$9 +43% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 27, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 36 | 70¢ → 79¢ | $28 | +$3 +13% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 39 | 64¢ → 71¢ | $28 | +$3 +11% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 15, 2026?Ends ended | No | 42 | 74¢ → 62¢ | $26 | −$5 −17% |
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | Yes | 138 | 26¢ → 19¢ | $26 | −$10 −29% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 48 | 52¢ → 53¢ | $25 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31?Ends in 4d | Yes | 25 | 40¢ → 99¢ | $25 | +$15 +148% |
| Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | No | 32 | 79¢ → 78¢ | $25 | −$0 −1.9% |
| Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 63 | 40¢ → 38¢ | $24 | −$1 −5.0% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 26 | 57¢ → 89¢ | $23 | +$8 +56% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | No | 65 | 8¢ → 35¢ | $23 | +$18 +353% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 26 | 78¢ → 85¢ | $22 | +$2 +7.8% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 15?Ends ended | Yes | 41 | 57¢ → 52¢ | $21 | −$2 −9.8% |
| Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 25 | 80¢ → 84¢ | $21 | +$1 +4.4% |
| Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | Yes | 156 | 54¢ → 13¢ | $20 | −$65 −76% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 19, 2026?Ends ended | No | 20 | 79¢ → 97¢ | $20 | +$4 +23% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?Ends in 4d | Yes | 188 | 15¢ → 10¢ | $20 | −$8 −30% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 23, 2026?Ends ended | No | 30 | 59¢ → 64¢ | $19 | +$1 +7.4% |
| Will Bezalel Smotrich be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?Ends in 128d | Yes | 245 | 6¢ → 8¢ | $19 | +$4 +27% |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | Yes | 49 | 40¢ → 39¢ | $19 | −$1 −4.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | No | 24 | 82¢ → 76¢ | $18 | −$2 −8.4% |
| Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | Yes | 43 | 35¢ → 42¢ | $18 | +$3 +19% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 2d | No | 17 | 58¢ → >99¢ | $17 | +$7 +72% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Ends in 128d | Yes | 163 | 18¢ → 10¢ | $17 | −$13 −44% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?Ends in 8d | No | 21 | 73¢ → 81¢ | $17 | +$2 +10% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 19 | 73¢ → 86¢ | $16 | +$2 +18% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 44 | 45¢ → 33¢ | $14 | −$6 −28% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 19 | 57¢ → 75¢ | $14 | +$3 +31% |
| Will it snow in Denver, CO by October 31?Ends in 11d | No | 19 | 53¢ → 75¢ | $14 | +$4 +42% |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 45 | 33¢ → 31¢ | $14 | −$1 −8.7% |
| Will Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | Yes | 29 | 45¢ → 48¢ | $14 | +$1 +4.7% |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?Ends in 8d | Yes | 17 | 59¢ → 81¢ | $14 | +$4 +36% |
| Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 55d | Yes | 20 | 54¢ → 62¢ | $12 | +$2 +15% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 33¢ → 41¢ | $12 | +$2 +23% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 20 | 60¢ → 60¢ | $12 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?Ends in 4d | Opp. | 20 | 51¢ → 60¢ | $12 | +$2 +18% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 44 | 45¢ → 24¢ | $10 | −$10 −48% |
| Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 64 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 73d | Lockheed Martin | 28 | 36¢ → 35¢ | $10 | −$0 −3.1% |
| Will Terry Yung win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 22 | 45¢ → 40¢ | $9 | −$1 −11% |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Ends in 128d | Yes | 169 | 10¢ → 5¢ | $9 | −$9 −49% |
| Will $ANSEM dip to $0.06 before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 26 | 38¢ → 33¢ | $9 | −$1 −13% |
| Will it snow in Kansas City, MO by November 15?Ends in 26d | Yes | 17 | 59¢ → 50¢ | $8 | −$2 −15% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Ends ended | Yes | 7 | 67¢ → 99¢ | $7 | +$2 +47% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 14?Ends ended | Yes | 15 | 62¢ → 51¢ | $7 | −$2 −19% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?Ends in 4d | Yes | 36 | 55¢ → 19¢ | $7 | −$13 −67% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 22?Ends ended | No | 24 | 42¢ → 27¢ | $6 | −$4 −36% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 21?Ends ended | No | 69 | 38¢ → 9¢ | $6 | −$20 −78% |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Ends in 128d | Yes | 181 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $6 | −$6 −52% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 53¢ → 28¢ | $6 | −$5 −46% |
